Football · Hong Kong 2nd Division · 01/11, 10:30

Prediction: Wing Yee vs GFC Friends

Team pages: Wing Yee · GFC Friends

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Wing Yee1.82
GFC Friends1.82
1X2
38% 24% 38%
Wing Yee Draw GFC Friends
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Wing Yee 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWDLLDWL
GFC Friends 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLLWDDWD
Head-to-head
Wing Yee 0–2 GFC Friends (2 last)
  • Wing Yee2-4GFC Friends
  • GFC Friends3-0Wing Yee
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wing Yee 1469 · GFC Friends 1539
Wing YeeDrawGFC Friends
Our model38%24%38%
Market38%24%38%
Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GFC Friends (rating 1469 vs 1539).
  • H2H favours GFC Friends: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Wing YeeGFC Friends
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 2.32.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.11.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.11.5 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.24.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wing Yee 0–0–2 GFC Friends

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Hong Kong 2nd Division
Wing Yee2-4
HT 1-2
GFC Friends
19/10/25
Hong Kong 2nd Division
GFC Friends3-0
HT 3-0
Wing Yee

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWing YeeGFC Friends
Yau Tsim Mong 1-2 L 2-2 D
Tuen Mun SA 4-1 W 1-0 W
Double Flower 2-2 D 1-6 L
Kwai Tsing DFA 0-3 L 3-4 L
Wanchai 2-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wing Yee (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wing Yee

WLLWDLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Yau Tsim Mong
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-1 1-2 22 L
18/10 Tuen Mun SA
Hong Kong 2nd Division
3-0 4-1 25 W
11/10 Double Flower
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-0 2-2 38 D
27/09 Sun Hei
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-3 1-4 53 L
20/09 Kwai Tsing DFA
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-2 0-3 23 L
13/09 Wing Go Fu Moon
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 0-0 03 D
06/09 Wanchai
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-0 2-0 23 W
10/05 Wanchai
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-2 2-4 54 L
26/04 GFC Friends
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-2 2-4 57 L
12/04 Yau Tsim Mong
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-1 5-3 52 W

GFC Friends

LWWLLWDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Kwun Tong
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-1 1-1 23 D
18/10 Wong Tai Sin
Hong Kong 2nd Division
4-0 5-0 44 W
11/10 Sui Tung
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 1-1 22 D
20/09 Yau Tsim Mong
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-1 2-2 72 D
13/09 Tuen Mun SA
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 1-0 57 W
06/09 Double Flower
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-3 1-6 23 L
24/05 Wanchai
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 1-2 –– L
10/05 Sui Tung
Hong Kong 2nd Division
2-0 4-1 –– W
26/04 Wing Yee
Hong Kong 2nd Division
2-1 4-2 57 W
12/04 Kwai Tsing DFA
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-2 3-4 46 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wing Yee vs GFC Friends?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wing Yee win (38%). Probabilities: Wing Yee 38%, draw 24%, GFC Friends 38%.

How many goals are expected in Wing Yee vs GFC Friends?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Wing Yee 1.82 · GFC Friends 1.82), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wing Yee vs GFC Friends?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.