Prediction: Tuen Mun SA vs Tsuen Wan
Team pages: Tuen Mun SA · Tsuen Wan
- Tsuen Wan2-1Tuen Mun SA
| Tuen Mun SA | Draw | Tsuen Wan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 22% | 24% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tsuen Wan (rating 1395 vs 1468).
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tuen Mun SA | Tsuen Wan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.3 | 2.1 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tuen Mun SA 0–0–1 Tsuen Wan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Tsuen Wan | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Tuen Mun SA |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tuen Mun SA
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Kwun Tong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Wong Tai Sin Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Tsuen Wan Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/02 | Fukien Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/01 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/12 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/11 | Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Tsuen Wan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Double Flower Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Sun Hei Hong Kong 2nd Division |
4-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Sparta Asia Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 8-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Tuen Mun SA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/03 | Fukien Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 01/02 | Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/01 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tuen Mun SA vs Tsuen Wan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tuen Mun SA win (54%). Probabilities: Tuen Mun SA 54%, draw 22%, Tsuen Wan 24%.
How many goals are expected in Tuen Mun SA vs Tsuen Wan?
The model expects 3.65 goals (Tuen Mun SA 2.2 · Tsuen Wan 1.45), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tuen Mun SA vs Tsuen Wan?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.