Prediction: Tsuen Wan vs Yau Tsim Mong
Team pages: Tsuen Wan · Yau Tsim Mong
- Tsuen Wan0-1Yau Tsim Mong
- Tsuen Wan0-3Yau Tsim Mong
| Tsuen Wan | Draw | Yau Tsim Mong | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 21% | 52% |
| Market | 26% | 21% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Yau Tsim Mong: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tsuen Wan | Yau Tsim Mong | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.4 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tsuen Wan 0–0–2 Yau Tsim Mong
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Tsuen Wan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Yau Tsim Mong |
| 22/09/24 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Tsuen Wan | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Yau Tsim Mong |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tsuen Wan | Yau Tsim Mong |
|---|---|---|
| Tuen Mun SA | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Wanchai | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Yau Tsim Mong (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tsuen Wan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Tuen Mun SA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Double Flower Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Sun Hei Hong Kong 2nd Division |
4-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Sparta Asia Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 8-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Tuen Mun SA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/03 | Fukien Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 01/02 | Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Yau Tsim Mong
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Kwun Tong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-4 | 2-6 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Wong Tai Sin Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Tsun Tat Kwok Keung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Tuen Mun SA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tsuen Wan vs Yau Tsim Mong?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Yau Tsim Mong win (52%). Probabilities: Tsuen Wan 26%, draw 21%, Yau Tsim Mong 52%.
How many goals are expected in Tsuen Wan vs Yau Tsim Mong?
The model expects 3.92 goals (Tsuen Wan 1.63 · Yau Tsim Mong 2.3), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tsuen Wan vs Yau Tsim Mong?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.