Prediction: Wanchai vs Kwai Tsing DFA
Team pages: Wanchai · Kwai Tsing DFA
- Kwai Tsing DFA1-4Wanchai
- Wanchai1-3Kwai Tsing DFA
- Kwai Tsing DFA3-1Wanchai
- Wanchai7-1Kwai Tsing DFA
- Wanchai1-1Kwai Tsing DFA
- Kwai Tsing DFA0-1Wanchai
| Wanchai | Draw | Kwai Tsing DFA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| Market | 18% | 18% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kwai Tsing DFA (rating 1492 vs 1560).
- H2H favours Wanchai: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wanchai | Kwai Tsing DFA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 1.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wanchai 3–1–2 Kwai Tsing DFA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Kwai Tsing DFA | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Wanchai |
| 19/10/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Wanchai | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Kwai Tsing DFA |
| 02/06/24 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Kwai Tsing DFA | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Wanchai |
| 10/12/23 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Wanchai | 7-1 HT 3-0 | Kwai Tsing DFA |
| 17/10/21 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Wanchai | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Kwai Tsing DFA |
| 04/04/21 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Kwai Tsing DFA | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Wanchai |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wanchai | Kwai Tsing DFA |
|---|---|---|
| Kowloon Cricket Club | 2-2 D | 5-1 W |
| P.B Alliance | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Wing Yee | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| GFC Friends | 2-1 W | 4-3 W |
| Yau Tsim Mong | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Kwai Tsing DFA (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wanchai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Wing Go Fu Moon Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/10 | Tsun Tat Kwok Keung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Tsuen Wan Hong Kong 2nd Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
Kwai Tsing DFA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Kwun Tong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Wong Tai Sin Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 10/05 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
2-1 | 4-3 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 01/03 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 01/02 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wanchai vs Kwai Tsing DFA?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kwai Tsing DFA win (64%). Probabilities: Wanchai 18%, draw 18%, Kwai Tsing DFA 64%.
How many goals are expected in Wanchai vs Kwai Tsing DFA?
The model expects 3.95 goals (Wanchai 1.35 · Kwai Tsing DFA 2.6), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wanchai vs Kwai Tsing DFA?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.