Football · Hong Kong 2nd Division · 01/11, 06:30

Prediction: Kwai Tsing DFA vs Wing Go Fu Moon

Team pages: Kwai Tsing DFA · Wing Go Fu Moon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.95Total

Kwai Tsing DFA2.1

Wing Go Fu Moon1.84

1X2

43% 24% 33%

Kwai Tsing DFA Draw Wing Go Fu Moon

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Kwai Tsing DFA 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWWLWW

Wing Go Fu Moon 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLLLDDDWWW

Head-to-head

Kwai Tsing DFA 4–2 Wing Go Fu Moon (6 last)

Wing Go Fu Moon1-10Kwai Tsing DFA
Wing Go Fu Moon1-4Kwai Tsing DFA
Wing Go Fu Moon3-4Kwai Tsing DFA
Wing Go Fu Moon0-1Kwai Tsing DFA
Kwai Tsing DFA1-2Wing Go Fu Moon
Wing Go Fu Moon2-1Kwai Tsing DFA

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kwai Tsing DFA 1574 · Wing Go Fu Moon 1487

	Kwai Tsing DFA	Draw	Wing Go Fu Moon
Our model	44%	22%	34%
Market	43%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kwai Tsing DFA (rating 1574 vs 1487).
H2H favours Kwai Tsing DFA: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kwai Tsing DFA	Wing Go Fu Moon
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	1.4 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.5	1.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 17:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 2.55▲	Bet365 2.55
X	3.80 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
2	3.60 → 2.25▼	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:39 +6’	1.73	3.80	3.60
10:19 +10’	2.10▲	3.60▼	2.75▼
17:27 +9’	2.55▲	3.60	2.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kwai Tsing DFA 4–0–2 Wing Go Fu Moon

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/11/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wing Go Fu Moon	1-10 HT 0-5	Kwai Tsing DFA
05/05/24 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wing Go Fu Moon	1-4 HT 0-1	Kwai Tsing DFA
24/10/21 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wing Go Fu Moon	3-4 HT 3-1	Kwai Tsing DFA
28/03/21 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wing Go Fu Moon	0-1 HT 0-0	Kwai Tsing DFA
05/01/20 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Kwai Tsing DFA	1-2 HT 0-2	Wing Go Fu Moon
11/02/18 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wing Go Fu Moon	2-1 HT 1-0	Kwai Tsing DFA

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kwai Tsing DFA	Wing Go Fu Moon
Wanchai	1-0 W	3-0 W
Kowloon Cricket Club	5-1 W	2-1 W
P.B Alliance	0-4 L	1-1 D
Wing Yee	3-0 W	0-0 D
GFC Friends	4-3 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kwai Tsing DFA (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kwai Tsing DFA

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	1-0	6	8	W
18/10	Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	5-1	4	2	W
11/10	P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
20/09	Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
13/09	Kwun Tong Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
06/09	Wong Tai Sin Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	1-0	4	10	W
10/05	Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
26/04	Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	1-2	10	5	L
12/04	GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-1	4-3	1	6	W
01/03	Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-1	1-1	6	1	D

Wing Go Fu Moon

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Tsun Tat Kwok Keung Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	4-0	2	0	W
18/10	Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
11/10	Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
27/09	P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
13/09	Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
08/03	Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
04/01	GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
30/11	Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-4	1-10	2	2	L
16/11	Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-5	1-10	3	3	L
09/11	Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-2	0-7	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kwai Tsing DFA vs Wing Go Fu Moon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kwai Tsing DFA win (43%). Probabilities: Kwai Tsing DFA 43%, draw 24%, Wing Go Fu Moon 33%.

How many goals are expected in Kwai Tsing DFA vs Wing Go Fu Moon?

The model expects 3.95 goals (Kwai Tsing DFA 2.1 · Wing Go Fu Moon 1.84), with a 60% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kwai Tsing DFA vs Wing Go Fu Moon?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.