Football · Kenya Premier League · 02/11, 14:15
Prediction: Shabana FC vs Administration Police FC
Team pages: Shabana FC · Administration Police FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.41Total
Shabana FC0.73
Administration Police FC0.68
1X2
Shabana FC
Draw
Administration Police FC
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 58%
Most likely score
0-0 26%
Recent form · 10 last
Shabana FC
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Administration Police FC
2-7-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shabana FC
2–2–2
Administration Police FC
(6 last)
- Shabana FC0-0Administration Police FC
- Administration Police FC0-1Shabana FC
- Administration Police FC1-0Shabana FC
- Shabana FC1-0Administration Police FC
- Shabana FC0-2Administration Police FC
- Shabana FC2-2Administration Police FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shabana FC 1509 · Administration Police FC 1496
| Shabana FC | Draw | Administration Police FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 41% | 28% |
| Market | 35% | 33% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.41 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shabana FC | Administration Police FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 25/75/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 4.4 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shabana FC 2–2–2 Administration Police FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Kenya Premier League | Shabana FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Administration Police FC |
| 30/11/25 Kenya Premier League | Administration Police FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shabana FC |
| 15/06/25 Kenya Premier League | Administration Police FC | 1-0 | Shabana FC |
| 10/11/24 Kenya Premier League | Shabana FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Administration Police FC |
| 30/07/21 Kenya Super League | Shabana FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Administration Police FC |
| 08/02/20 Kenya Super League | Shabana FC | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Administration Police FC |
Standings · Kenya Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | KCB | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Muranga Seal | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
| 4 | Mara Sugar FC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | AFC Leopards | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Shabana FC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | APS Bomet | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Administration Police FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Mathare United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | 3K FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 11 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | Tusker | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Migori Youth | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Nairobi United | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Bandari FC | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Ulinzi Stars | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shabana FC | Administration Police FC |
|---|---|---|
| Migori Youth | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| AFC Leopards | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Nairobi United | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Ulinzi Stars | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shabana FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Migori Youth Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 25/10 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/10 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Posta Rangers Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Sofapaka FC Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Bidco United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Administration Police FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
Administration Police FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Mombasa United Kenya Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/10 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | Migori Youth Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/05 | Kariobangi Sharks Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Muranga Seal Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Shabana FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shabana FC vs Administration Police FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: Shabana FC 33%, draw 36%, Administration Police FC 30%.
How many goals are expected in Shabana FC vs Administration Police FC?
The model expects 1.41 goals (Shabana FC 0.73 · Administration Police FC 0.68), with a 58% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Shabana FC vs Administration Police FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.