Football · Kenya Premier League · 08/11, 13:00
Prediction: Kakamega Homeboyz vs Administration Police FC
Team pages: Kakamega Homeboyz · Administration Police FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.86Total
Kakamega Homeboyz0.89
Administration Police FC0.96
1X2
Kakamega Homeboyz
Draw
Administration Police FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Kakamega Homeboyz
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Administration Police FC
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kakamega Homeboyz
1–3–0
Administration Police FC
(4 last)
- Administration Police FC1-1Kakamega Homeboyz
- Kakamega Homeboyz2-2Administration Police FC
- Kakamega Homeboyz2-1Administration Police FC
- Administration Police FC1-1Kakamega Homeboyz
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Administration Police FC (rating 1458 vs 1524).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kakamega Homeboyz | Administration Police FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/38/63% | 38/63/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.1 | 2.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kakamega Homeboyz 1–3–0 Administration Police FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Kenya Premier League | Administration Police FC | 1-1 | Kakamega Homeboyz |
| 22/12/25 Kenya Premier League | Kakamega Homeboyz | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Administration Police FC |
| 14/05/25 Kenya Premier League | Kakamega Homeboyz | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Administration Police FC |
| 21/12/24 Kenya Premier League | Administration Police FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Kakamega Homeboyz |
Standings · Kenya Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KCB | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Gor Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | AFC Leopards | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Shabana FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Mara Sugar FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | 3K FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 7 | Administration Police FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Muranga Seal | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
| 9 | Tusker | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Migori Youth | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | APS Bomet | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Mathare United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Nairobi United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Bandari FC | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | Posta Rangers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kakamega Homeboyz | Administration Police FC |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Leopards | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Gor Mahia | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Ulinzi Stars | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Mombasa United | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Kariobangi Sharks | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Muranga Seal | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Administration Police FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kakamega Homeboyz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 28/10 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 18/10 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/10 | Mombasa United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Administration Police FC Kenya Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Kariobangi Sharks Kenya Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Muranga Seal Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
Administration Police FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Shabana FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/10 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Mombasa United Kenya Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/10 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | Migori Youth Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/05 | Kariobangi Sharks Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Muranga Seal Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kakamega Homeboyz vs Administration Police FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Administration Police FC win (35%). Probabilities: Kakamega Homeboyz 31%, draw 35%, Administration Police FC 35%.
How many goals are expected in Kakamega Homeboyz vs Administration Police FC?
The model expects 1.86 goals (Kakamega Homeboyz 0.89 · Administration Police FC 0.96), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kakamega Homeboyz vs Administration Police FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.