Football · Kenya Premier League · 08/11, 12:00
Prediction: Bandari FC vs Tusker
Team pages: Bandari FC · Tusker
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.83Total
Bandari FC0.95
Tusker0.88
1X2
Bandari FC
Draw
Tusker
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Bandari FC
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Tusker
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bandari FC
2–1–3
Tusker
(6 last)
- Bandari FC1-0Tusker
- Tusker1-2Bandari FC
- Bandari FC0-0Tusker
- Tusker1-0Bandari FC
- Tusker2-1Bandari FC
- Bandari FC0-1Tusker
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bandari FC 1514 · Tusker 1510
| Bandari FC | Draw | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 35% | 30% |
| Market | 36% | 32% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.83 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tusker: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bandari FC | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 13/50/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.7 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bandari FC 2–1–3 Tusker
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Kenya Premier League | Bandari FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tusker |
| 17/01/26 Kenya Premier League | Tusker | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Bandari FC |
| 02/03/25 Kenya Premier League | Bandari FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tusker |
| 15/01/25 Kenya Premier League | Tusker | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Bandari FC |
| 15/06/24 Kenya Premier League | Tusker | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bandari FC |
| 26/08/23 Kenya Premier League | Bandari FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tusker |
Standings · Kenya Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KCB | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Gor Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | AFC Leopards | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Shabana FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Mara Sugar FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | 3K FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 7 | Administration Police FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Muranga Seal | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
| 9 | Tusker | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Migori Youth | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | APS Bomet | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Mathare United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Nairobi United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Bandari FC | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | Posta Rangers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bandari FC | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Nairobi United | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Mathare United | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| APS Bomet | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bandari FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/10 | Posta Rangers Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/10 | 3K FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 14/10 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Mathare United Kenya Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Tusker Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Posta Rangers Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
Tusker
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 29/10 | Mathare United Kenya Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/05 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Bandari FC Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Bidco United Kenya Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/05 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Sofapaka FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bandari FC vs Tusker?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bandari FC win (35%). Probabilities: Bandari FC 35%, draw 33%, Tusker 31%.
How many goals are expected in Bandari FC vs Tusker?
The model expects 1.83 goals (Bandari FC 0.95 · Tusker 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bandari FC vs Tusker?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.