Football · Romania Liga III · 30/10, 14:00

Prediction: ACS Progresul Pecica vs FC Nera Bogodinti

Team pages: ACS Progresul Pecica

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
ACS Progresul Pecica2.54
FC Nera Bogodinti1.04
1X2
69% 18% 13%
ACS Progresul Pecica Draw FC Nera Bogodinti
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
ACS Progresul Pecica 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
DWLLWLWLLL
FC Nera Bogodinti 0-2-8 (W-D-L)
DLLLLLDLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ACS Progresul Pecica 1465 · FC Nera Bogodinti 1392
ACS Progresul PecicaDrawFC Nera Bogodinti
Our model69%18%13%
Market69%18%13%
Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACS Progresul Pecica (rating 1465 vs 1392).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ACS Progresul PecicaFC Nera Bogodinti
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 2.40.4 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 1.20 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.21.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.21.7 / 0.3

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Unirea Alba Iulia 10721 29523
2 CS Timisul Sag 10622 13620
3 CSM Deva 10532 231518
4 ACS CIL Blaj 10532 191618
5 ACS Viitorul Arad 10532 151318
6 Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 10532 181218
7 CS Unirea Santana 10514 15916
8 CS Metalurgistul Cugir 10334 141612
9 ACS Progresul Pecica 10316 162410
10 SSU Politehnica Timisoara II 10217 11237
11 CSU Alba Iulia 10046 7194
12 FC Nera Bogodinti 10028 4262

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentACS Progresul PecicaFC Nera Bogodinti
Unirea Alba Iulia 0-4 L 0-10 L
CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1-2 L 0-3 L
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 0-5 L 1-2 L
ACS CIL Blaj 2-1 W 1-2 L
CS Unirea Santana 1-4 L 0-2 L
CSU Alba Iulia 6-0 W 0-0 D
CS Timisul Sag 0-3 L 0-0 D
CSM Deva 1-3 L 1-2 L
ACS Viitorul Arad 0-0 D 1-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 6 L 0 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: ACS Progresul Pecica (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ACS Progresul Pecica

DWLLWLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Unirea Alba Iulia
Romania Liga III
0-2 0-4 53 L
17/10 CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-2 67 L
09/10 Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
Romania Liga III
0-2 0-5 12 L
03/10 ACS CIL Blaj
Romania Liga III
– 2-1 –– W
26/09 CS Unirea Santana
Romania Liga III
– 1-4 –– L
22/09 CSU Alba Iulia
Romania Liga III
– 6-0 –– W
18/09 CS Timisul Sag
Romania Liga III
0-2 0-3 36 L
11/09 CSM Deva
Romania Liga III
– 1-3 –– L
04/09 Stinta Poli Timisoara 2
Romania Liga III
– 5-2 –– W
29/08 ACS Viitorul Arad
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-0 67 D

FC Nera Bogodinti

DLLLLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 CSM Deva
Romania Liga III
– 1-2 –– L
16/10 SSU Politehnica Timisoara II
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-1 13 L
10/10 ACS Viitorul Arad
Romania Liga III
– 1-4 –– L
03/10 CS Timisul Sag
Romania Liga III
– 0-0 –– D
26/09 Unirea Alba Iulia
Romania Liga III
0-4 0-10 20 L
23/09 CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Romania Liga III
– 0-3 –– L
18/09 Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-2 63 L
12/09 ACS CIL Blaj
Romania Liga III
– 1-2 –– L
05/09 CS Unirea Santana
Romania Liga III
– 0-2 –– L
29/08 CSU Alba Iulia
Romania Liga III
– 0-0 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ACS Progresul Pecica vs FC Nera Bogodinti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ACS Progresul Pecica win (69%). Probabilities: ACS Progresul Pecica 69%, draw 18%, FC Nera Bogodinti 13%.

How many goals are expected in ACS Progresul Pecica vs FC Nera Bogodinti?

The model expects 3.57 goals (ACS Progresul Pecica 2.54 · FC Nera Bogodinti 1.04), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ACS Progresul Pecica vs FC Nera Bogodinti?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.