Football · Romania Liga III · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: CS Unirea Santana vs Unirea Alba Iulia

Team pages: CS Unirea Santana · Unirea Alba Iulia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

CS Unirea Santana0.74

Unirea Alba Iulia1.94

1X2

14% 20% 66%

CS Unirea Santana Draw Unirea Alba Iulia

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-2 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Unirea Santana 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWLDLD

Unirea Alba Iulia 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LDDWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

CS Unirea Santana 0–3 Unirea Alba Iulia (3 last)

Unirea Alba Iulia1-0CS Unirea Santana
CS Unirea Santana0-1Unirea Alba Iulia
Unirea Alba Iulia5-0CS Unirea Santana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Unirea Santana 1510 · Unirea Alba Iulia 1605

	CS Unirea Santana	Draw	Unirea Alba Iulia
Our model	12%	23%	65%
Market	15%	18%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Unirea Alba Iulia (rating 1510 vs 1605).
H2H favours Unirea Alba Iulia: 3-0-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Unirea Santana	Unirea Alba Iulia
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	3.1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	75/25/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 3.8	4.3 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

16.00

X5.00

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.95

2 (-1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:24 +9’	6.00	5.00	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Unirea Santana 0–0–3 Unirea Alba Iulia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Romania Liga III	Unirea Alba Iulia	1-0	CS Unirea Santana
07/03/26 Romania Liga III	CS Unirea Santana	0-1	Unirea Alba Iulia
10/10/25 Romania Liga III	Unirea Alba Iulia	5-0 HT 2-0	CS Unirea Santana

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	11	8	2	1	32	5	26
2	CS Timisul Sag	11	7	2	2	17	7	23
3	ACS Viitorul Arad	11	6	3	2	19	14	21
4	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	11	5	4	2	20	14	19
5	ACS CIL Blaj	11	5	4	2	21	18	19
6	CSM Deva	11	5	3	3	24	19	18
7	CS Unirea Santana	11	5	2	4	15	9	17
8	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	11	3	4	4	14	16	13
9	ACS Progresul Pecica	11	4	1	6	18	25	13
10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II	11	2	1	8	12	27	7
11	CSU Alba Iulia	11	0	4	7	7	22	4
12	FC Nera Bogodinti	11	0	2	9	5	28	2

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Unirea Santana	Unirea Alba Iulia
CS Metalurgistul Cugir	0-0 D	2-2 D
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	0-3 L	0-0 D
ACS CIL Blaj	0-0 D	1-2 L
CS Timisul Sag	1-2 L	3-0 W
CSU Alba Iulia	1-0 W	3-0 W
ACS Progresul Pecica	4-1 W	4-0 W
CSM Deva	3-0 W	2-1 W
ACS Viitorul Arad	0-1 L	4-0 W
FC Nera Bogodinti	2-0 W	10-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Unirea Alba Iulia (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Unirea Santana

WLWWWWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
23/10	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
09/10	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	0-2	1-2	2	2	L
02/10	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
26/09	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/09	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	2-0	3-0	1	3	W
19/09	Stinta Poli Timisoara 2 Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
12/09	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W

Unirea Alba Iulia

LDDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
24/10	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	2-0	4-0	15	3	W
16/10	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II Romania Liga III	0-0	2-0	10	4	W
03/10	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	–	4-0	–	–	W
26/09	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	4-0	10-0	12	0	W
22/09	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
18/09	CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
12/09	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
05/09	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	1-0	1-2	5	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Unirea Santana vs Unirea Alba Iulia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Unirea Alba Iulia win (66%). Probabilities: CS Unirea Santana 14%, draw 20%, Unirea Alba Iulia 66%.

How many goals are expected in CS Unirea Santana vs Unirea Alba Iulia?

The model expects 2.68 goals (CS Unirea Santana 0.74 · Unirea Alba Iulia 1.94), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Unirea Santana vs Unirea Alba Iulia?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.