Football · Romania Liga III · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs CS Agigea

Team pages: Recolta Gheorghe Doja · CS Agigea

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Recolta Gheorghe Doja1.79

CS Agigea1.71

1X2

40% 24% 36%

Recolta Gheorghe Doja Draw CS Agigea

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Recolta Gheorghe Doja 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLWLD

CS Agigea 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDDLLW

Head-to-head

Recolta Gheorghe Doja 3–1 CS Agigea (4 last)

CS Agigea5-3Recolta Gheorghe Doja
CS Agigea0-1Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Recolta Gheorghe Doja4-1CS Agigea
CS Agigea0-1Recolta Gheorghe Doja

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Recolta Gheorghe Doja 1509 · CS Agigea 1496

	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	Draw	CS Agigea
Our model	40%	24%	36%
Market	40%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Recolta Gheorghe Doja: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	CS Agigea
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.4	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.5 / 3	4 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.80

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:05 +15’	2.25	3.80	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Recolta Gheorghe Doja 3–0–1 CS Agigea

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Romania Liga III	CS Agigea	5-3 HT 3-2	Recolta Gheorghe Doja
10/04/26 Romania Liga III	CS Agigea	0-1	Recolta Gheorghe Doja
15/11/25 Romania Liga III	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	4-1	CS Agigea
06/09/25 Romania Liga III	CS Agigea	0-1	Recolta Gheorghe Doja

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Agricola Borcea	11	9	1	1	32	9	28
2	ACS Progresul Fundulea	11	8	0	3	32	14	24
3	CS Sporting Liesti	11	7	0	4	40	20	21
4	Unirea Branistea	11	6	1	4	21	15	19
5	CS Agigea	11	5	3	3	17	17	18
6	Inainte Modelu	11	5	1	5	18	18	16
7	CSA Axiopolis	11	5	1	5	24	22	16
8	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	11	5	1	5	21	29	16
9	Dunarea Calarasi	11	4	3	4	10	13	15
10	Gloria Baneasa	11	2	1	8	15	30	7
11	Otelul Galati II	11	2	1	8	10	27	7
12	CS Portul Constanta	11	1	1	9	13	39	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	CS Agigea
CS Portul Constanta	1-1 D	1-0 W
CS Sporting Liesti	0-7 L	2-0 W
Gloria Baneasa	6-5 W	1-1 D
Unirea Branistea	1-2 L	2-1 W
CSA Axiopolis	1-3 L	2-1 W
ACS Progresul Fundulea	2-1 W	2-4 L
FC Agricola Borcea	1-0 W	0-4 L
Otelul Galati II	2-1 W	2-2 D
Dunarea Calarasi	3-0 W	0-0 D
Inainte Modelu	1-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Recolta Gheorghe Doja

LWWWWLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CS Portul Constanta Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
24/10	CS Sporting Liesti Romania Liga III	0-2	0-7	1	4	L
17/10	Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III	–	6-5	–	–	W
10/10	Unirea Branistea Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/10	CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III	1-0	1-3	5	7	L
26/09	ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
23/09	FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	Otelul Galati II Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/09	Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III	–	3-0	–	–	W
05/09	Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III	–	1-4	–	–	L

CS Agigea

DWWWLDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/10	ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III	–	2-4	–	–	L
16/10	FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III	–	0-4	–	–	L
10/10	Otelul Galati II Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
02/10	Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III	–	0-0	–	–	D
26/09	Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
23/09	Unirea Branistea Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
19/09	CS Portul Constanta Romania Liga III	1-0	1-0	9	4	W
12/09	CS Sporting Liesti Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W
05/09	Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs CS Agigea?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Recolta Gheorghe Doja win (40%). Probabilities: Recolta Gheorghe Doja 40%, draw 24%, CS Agigea 36%.

How many goals are expected in Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs CS Agigea?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Recolta Gheorghe Doja 1.79 · CS Agigea 1.71), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs CS Agigea?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.