Football · Romania Liga III · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Unirea Branistea vs CS Sporting Liesti

Team pages: Unirea Branistea · CS Sporting Liesti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.85Total

Unirea Branistea1.95

CS Sporting Liesti1.91

1X2

39% 23% 38%

Unirea Branistea Draw CS Sporting Liesti

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Unirea Branistea 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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CS Sporting Liesti 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Unirea Branistea 2–4 CS Sporting Liesti (6 last)

CS Sporting Liesti2-1Unirea Branistea
Unirea Branistea2-4CS Sporting Liesti
Unirea Branistea1-0CS Sporting Liesti
CS Sporting Liesti1-0Unirea Branistea
CS Sporting Liesti3-1Unirea Branistea
CS Sporting Liesti2-4Unirea Branistea

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unirea Branistea 1532 · CS Sporting Liesti 1541

	Unirea Branistea	Draw	CS Sporting Liesti
Our model	39%	23%	38%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CS Sporting Liesti: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Unirea Branistea	CS Sporting Liesti
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	3.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/67/17%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	2.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	5.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.80

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:12 +7’	2.30	3.80	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Unirea Branistea 2–0–4 CS Sporting Liesti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Romania Liga III	CS Sporting Liesti	2-1 HT 0-0	Unirea Branistea
05/08/26 Romania Cup	Unirea Branistea	2-4 HT 0-1	CS Sporting Liesti
29/11/25 Romania Liga III	Unirea Branistea	1-0 HT 0-0	CS Sporting Liesti
20/09/25 Romania Liga III	CS Sporting Liesti	1-0 HT 1-0	Unirea Branistea
06/08/25 Romania Cup	CS Sporting Liesti	3-1 HT 2-1	Unirea Branistea
10/05/25 Romania Liga III	CS Sporting Liesti	2-4 HT 0-2	Unirea Branistea

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Agricola Borcea	11	9	1	1	32	9	28
2	ACS Progresul Fundulea	11	8	0	3	32	14	24
3	CS Sporting Liesti	11	7	0	4	40	20	21
4	Unirea Branistea	11	6	1	4	21	15	19
5	CS Agigea	11	5	3	3	17	17	18
6	Inainte Modelu	11	5	1	5	18	18	16
7	CSA Axiopolis	11	5	1	5	24	22	16
8	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	11	5	1	5	21	29	16
9	Dunarea Calarasi	11	4	3	4	10	13	15
10	Gloria Baneasa	11	2	1	8	15	30	7
11	Otelul Galati II	11	2	1	8	10	27	7
12	CS Portul Constanta	11	1	1	9	13	39	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Unirea Branistea	CS Sporting Liesti
Otelul Galati II	2-0 W	6-1 W
Gloria Baneasa	3-1 W	5-1 W
Dunarea Calarasi	1-1 D	2-3 L
Recolta Gheorghe Doja	2-1 W	7-0 W
Inainte Modelu	1-0 W	5-4 W
CSA Axiopolis	3-4 L	4-1 W
CS Agigea	1-2 L	0-2 L
ACS Progresul Fundulea	4-2 W	0-2 L
CS Portul Constanta	3-1 W	6-0 W
FC Agricola Borcea	0-1 L	3-5 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CS Sporting Liesti (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unirea Branistea

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Otelul Galati II Romania Liga III	1-0	2-0	11	2	W
24/10	Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III	–	3-1	–	–	W
16/10	Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	Recolta Gheorghe Doja Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
02/10	Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
26/09	CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III	1-3	3-4	4	0	L
23/09	CS Agigea Romania Liga III	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
19/09	ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III	1-1	4-2	4	6	W
12/09	CS Portul Constanta Romania Liga III	0-0	3-1	5	5	W
05/09	FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	9	6	L

CS Sporting Liesti

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III	–	5-1	–	–	W
24/10	Recolta Gheorghe Doja Romania Liga III	2-0	7-0	6	4	W
17/10	CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III	1-1	4-1	6	7	W
10/10	ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
03/10	FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III	–	3-5	–	–	L
26/09	Otelul Galati II Romania Liga III	–	6-1	–	–	W
23/09	Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III	–	2-3	–	–	L
19/09	Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III	–	5-4	–	–	W
12/09	CS Agigea Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
05/09	CS Portul Constanta Romania Liga III	–	6-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unirea Branistea vs CS Sporting Liesti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Unirea Branistea win (39%). Probabilities: Unirea Branistea 39%, draw 23%, CS Sporting Liesti 38%.

How many goals are expected in Unirea Branistea vs CS Sporting Liesti?

The model expects 3.85 goals (Unirea Branistea 1.95 · CS Sporting Liesti 1.91), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Unirea Branistea vs CS Sporting Liesti?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.