Football · Romania Liga III · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: ACS CIL Blaj vs CS Metalurgistul Cugir

Team pages: ACS CIL Blaj · CS Metalurgistul Cugir

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

ACS CIL Blaj1.76

CS Metalurgistul Cugir1.38

1X2

46% 25% 30%

ACS CIL Blaj Draw CS Metalurgistul Cugir

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

ACS CIL Blaj 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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CS Metalurgistul Cugir 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

ACS CIL Blaj 2–1–3 CS Metalurgistul Cugir (6 last)

CS Metalurgistul Cugir0-2ACS CIL Blaj
CS Metalurgistul Cugir3-1ACS CIL Blaj
ACS CIL Blaj1-2CS Metalurgistul Cugir
ACS CIL Blaj1-4CS Metalurgistul Cugir
CS Metalurgistul Cugir2-3ACS CIL Blaj
ACS CIL Blaj2-2CS Metalurgistul Cugir

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ACS CIL Blaj 1522 · CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1494

	ACS CIL Blaj	Draw	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Our model	45%	25%	29%
Market	46%	24%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CS Metalurgistul Cugir: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ACS CIL Blaj	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.8	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.8	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.2	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.70

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:28 +5’	1.95	3.70	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ACS CIL Blaj 2–1–3 CS Metalurgistul Cugir

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Romania Liga III	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	0-2	ACS CIL Blaj
05/12/25 Romania Liga III	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	3-1 HT 2-0	ACS CIL Blaj
23/09/25 Romania Liga III	ACS CIL Blaj	1-2	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
23/05/25 Romania Liga III	ACS CIL Blaj	1-4 HT 1-1	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
18/04/25 Romania Liga III	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	2-3	ACS CIL Blaj
23/11/24 Romania Liga III	ACS CIL Blaj	2-2	CS Metalurgistul Cugir

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	11	8	2	1	32	5	26
2	CS Timisul Sag	11	7	2	2	17	7	23
3	ACS Viitorul Arad	11	6	3	2	19	14	21
4	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	11	5	4	2	20	14	19
5	ACS CIL Blaj	11	5	4	2	21	18	19
6	CSM Deva	11	5	3	3	24	19	18
7	CS Unirea Santana	11	5	2	4	15	9	17
8	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	11	3	4	4	14	16	13
9	ACS Progresul Pecica	11	4	1	6	18	25	13
10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II	11	2	1	8	12	27	7
11	CSU Alba Iulia	11	0	4	7	7	22	4
12	FC Nera Bogodinti	11	0	2	9	5	28	2

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ACS CIL Blaj	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	2-2 D	3-3 D
CS Timisul Sag	0-3 L	0-1 L
CS Unirea Santana	0-0 D	0-0 D
CSU Alba Iulia	2-2 D	2-1 W
ACS Progresul Pecica	1-2 L	2-1 W
CSM Deva	5-5 D	0-2 L
SSU Politehnica Timisoara II	2-1 W	1-1 D
ACS Viitorul Arad	3-1 W	1-3 L
FC Nera Bogodinti	2-1 W	3-0 W
Unirea Alba Iulia	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 2 L	3 W 4 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ACS CIL Blaj

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	0-1	2-2	5	6	D
23/10	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
09/10	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	–	5-5	–	–	D
22/09	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II Romania Liga III	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
18/09	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	2-0	3-1	6	9	W
12/09	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-1	2-1	5	8	W

CS Metalurgistul Cugir

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
23/10	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
17/10	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	0-1	2-1	2	7	W
09/10	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	0-0	0-2	7	5	L
02/10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II Romania Liga III	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
26/09	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	1-2	1-3	8	4	L
23/09	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	–	3-0	–	–	W
18/09	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-1	2-2	0	5	D
11/09	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
04/09	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	1-2	3-3	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ACS CIL Blaj vs CS Metalurgistul Cugir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ACS CIL Blaj win (46%). Probabilities: ACS CIL Blaj 46%, draw 25%, CS Metalurgistul Cugir 30%.

How many goals are expected in ACS CIL Blaj vs CS Metalurgistul Cugir?

The model expects 3.14 goals (ACS CIL Blaj 1.76 · CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1.38), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ACS CIL Blaj vs CS Metalurgistul Cugir?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.