Prediction: Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United
Team pages: Ulinzi Stars · Mathare United
- Ulinzi Stars2-1Mathare United
- Mathare United1-0Ulinzi Stars
- Mathare United1-0Ulinzi Stars
- Ulinzi Stars0-0Mathare United
- Mathare United1-1Ulinzi Stars
- Ulinzi Stars3-1Mathare United
| Ulinzi Stars | Draw | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 35% | 29% |
| Market | 37% | 33% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ulinzi Stars | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 2.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ulinzi Stars 2–2–2 Mathare United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Kenya Premier League | Ulinzi Stars | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Mathare United |
| 16/01/26 Kenya Premier League | Mathare United | 1-0 | Ulinzi Stars |
| 17/05/25 Kenya Premier League | Mathare United | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ulinzi Stars |
| 01/12/24 Kenya Premier League | Ulinzi Stars | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mathare United |
| 21/06/23 Kenya Premier League | Mathare United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ulinzi Stars |
| 04/01/23 Kenya Premier League | Ulinzi Stars | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Mathare United |
Standings · Kenya Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | KCB | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Muranga Seal | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
| 4 | Mara Sugar FC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | AFC Leopards | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Shabana FC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | APS Bomet | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Administration Police FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Mathare United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | 3K FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 11 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | Tusker | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Migori Youth | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Nairobi United | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Bandari FC | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Ulinzi Stars | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ulinzi Stars | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Mara Sugar FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Tusker | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Bandari FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Mathare United (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ulinzi Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Administration Police FC Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/10 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Tusker Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Posta Rangers Kenya Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Tusker Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Mathare United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Shabana FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Bandari FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Mathare United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Tusker Kenya Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/10 | Migori Youth Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 17/10 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | Bandari FC Kenya Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Sofapaka FC Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ulinzi Stars win (37%). Probabilities: Ulinzi Stars 37%, draw 34%, Mathare United 29%.
How many goals are expected in Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United?
The model expects 1.86 goals (Ulinzi Stars 1 · Mathare United 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.