Football · Argentina Championship Women · 31/10, 18:00

Prediction: Lanus (W) vs Racing Club (W)

Team pages: Lanus (W) · Racing Club (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Lanus (W)0.63

Racing Club (W)1.92

1X2

10% 22% 67%

Lanus (W) Draw Racing Club (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Lanus (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWDDLD

Racing Club (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWWLDW

Head-to-head

Lanus (W) 1–5 Racing Club (W) (6 last)

Racing Club (W)6-0Lanus (W)
Lanus (W)0-3Racing Club (W)
Racing Club (W)5-0Lanus (W)
Lanus (W)1-2Racing Club (W)
Lanus (W)1-6Racing Club (W)
Racing Club (W)2-3Lanus (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lanus (W) 1498 · Racing Club (W) 1522

	Lanus (W)	Draw	Racing Club (W)
Our model	10%	22%	67%
Market	11%	22%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Racing Club (W): 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lanus (W)	Racing Club (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.8	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3	2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

18.50

X4.10

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.98

2 (-1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
X	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.49 ★
2	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:46 +4’	8.50	4.10	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:02 +53’	7.99	4.40	1.37
16:51 +4’	8.30▲	4.49▲	1.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanus (W) 1–0–5 Racing Club (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Argentina Championship Women	Racing Club (W)	6-0 HT 1-0	Lanus (W)
15/10/23 Argentina Championship Women	Lanus (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Racing Club (W)
23/04/23 Argentina Championship Women	Racing Club (W)	5-0 HT 2-0	Lanus (W)
30/05/22 Argentina Championship Women	Lanus (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	Racing Club (W)
03/10/21 Argentina Championship Women	Lanus (W)	1-6 HT 0-4	Racing Club (W)
10/05/21 Argentina Championship Women	Racing Club (W)	2-3 HT 2-1	Lanus (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boca Juniors (W)	11	8	1	2	18	8	25
2	San Luis FC (W)	11	8	0	3	20	13	24
3	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	10	6	3	1	17	7	21
4	Banfield (W)	11	6	3	2	17	9	21
5	San Lorenzo (W)	10	5	4	1	17	8	19
6	Racing Club (W)	11	5	2	4	20	12	17
7	Belgrano (W)	11	5	2	4	19	12	17
8	Social Atletico Television (W)	11	4	5	2	10	7	17
9	Lanus (W)	11	4	3	4	9	11	15
10	River Plate (W)	8	4	2	2	12	6	14
11	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	10	4	2	4	17	17	14
12	Union Santa Fe (W)	11	2	4	5	10	19	10
13	CA Independiente Women	11	3	0	8	13	27	9
14	Huracan (W)	11	2	1	8	9	19	7
15	Gimnasia LP (W)	11	2	1	8	5	18	7
16	Newell's Old Boys (W)	11	0	1	10	4	24	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lanus (W)	Racing Club (W)
Social Atletico Television (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
River Plate (W)	0-0 D	1-1 D
Belgrano (W)	1-3 L	3-1 W
Banfield (W)	2-3 L	0-1 L
Gimnasia LP (W)	1-0 W	4-0 W
Newell's Old Boys (W)	1-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Racing Club (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lanus (W)

WWLLWWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
27/09	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
23/09	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
19/09	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
11/09	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	1-1	2-1	8	5	W
05/09	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	0	6	W
30/08	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	1-3	2	2	L
16/08	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-3	2-3	2	3	L
08/08	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
02/08	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	2	1	W

Racing Club (W)

LWDLLWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	3-1	7	7	W
27/09	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
18/09	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
12/09	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	3-0	4-0	3	7	W
04/09	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-1	4-1	2	4	W
31/08	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
24/08	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
14/08	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
09/08	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	3-2	5	6	W
03/08	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-2	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lanus (W) vs Racing Club (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Racing Club (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Lanus (W) 10%, draw 22%, Racing Club (W) 67%.

How many goals are expected in Lanus (W) vs Racing Club (W)?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Lanus (W) 0.63 · Racing Club (W) 1.92), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lanus (W) vs Racing Club (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.