Football · Argentina Championship Women · 06/11, 19:00

Prediction: Belgrano (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)

Team pages: Belgrano (W) · Newell's Old Boys (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Belgrano (W)2.34

Newell's Old Boys (W)0.38

1X2

81% 15% 4%

Belgrano (W) Draw Newell's Old Boys (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 57%

Most likely score

2-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Belgrano (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWWLDL

Newell's Old Boys (W) 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Belgrano (W) 2–2–2 Newell's Old Boys (W) (6 last)

Newell's Old Boys (W)0-1Belgrano (W)
Newell's Old Boys (W)0-0Belgrano (W)
Newell's Old Boys (W)0-0Belgrano (W)
Newell's Old Boys (W)3-1Belgrano (W)
Belgrano (W)0-2Newell's Old Boys (W)
Newell's Old Boys (W)0-1Belgrano (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Belgrano (W) 1536 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1377

	Belgrano (W)	Draw	Newell's Old Boys (W)
Our model	81%	15%	4%
Market	82%	14%	4%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belgrano (W) (rating 1536 vs 1377).
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Belgrano (W)	Newell's Old Boys (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	0.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.6	1.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.13

X6.50

221.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.82

2 (+2)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Pinn 1.19 ★
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	21.00 → 21.00	Bet365 21.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:52 +6’	1.13	6.50	21.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:43 +10’	1.14	6.93	17.14
23:01 +17’	1.19▲	5.87▼	12.89▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Belgrano (W) 2–2–2 Newell's Old Boys (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Argentina Championship Women	Newell's Old Boys (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Belgrano (W)
21/12/25 Argentina Trophy of Champions Women	Newell's Old Boys (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Belgrano (W)
10/08/25 Argentina Championship Women	Newell's Old Boys (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Belgrano (W)
23/05/25 Argentina Championship Women	Newell's Old Boys (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Belgrano (W)
12/10/24 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Newell's Old Boys (W)
24/05/24 Argentina Championship Women	Newell's Old Boys (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Belgrano (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boca Juniors (W)	11	8	1	2	18	8	25
2	San Luis FC (W)	11	8	0	3	20	13	24
3	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	10	6	3	1	17	7	21
4	Banfield (W)	11	6	3	2	17	9	21
5	San Lorenzo (W)	10	5	4	1	17	8	19
6	Racing Club (W)	11	5	2	4	20	12	17
7	Belgrano (W)	11	5	2	4	19	12	17
8	Social Atletico Television (W)	11	4	5	2	10	7	17
9	Lanus (W)	11	4	3	4	9	11	15
10	River Plate (W)	8	4	2	2	12	6	14
11	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	10	4	2	4	17	17	14
12	Union Santa Fe (W)	11	2	4	5	10	19	10
13	CA Independiente Women	11	3	0	8	13	27	9
14	Huracan (W)	11	2	1	8	9	19	7
15	Gimnasia LP (W)	11	2	1	8	5	18	7
16	Newell's Old Boys (W)	11	0	1	10	4	24	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Belgrano (W)	Newell's Old Boys (W)
Racing Club (W)	1-3 L	1-4 L
San Lorenzo (W)	1-1 D	0-4 L
CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	0-3 L	0-2 L
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	3-1 W	1-2 L
Boca Juniors (W)	2-0 W	0-2 L
Lanus (W)	3-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Belgrano (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Belgrano (W)

WWDLWWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-3	2	7	L
27/09	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
19/09	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
11/09	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	3-1	3	1	W
05/09	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
30/08	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
22/08	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
16/08	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-1	10	0	D
10/08	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	1-0	6-0	4	4	W
02/08	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	2-0	4	1	W

Newell's Old Boys (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
26/09	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-3	4	2	L
18/09	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
13/09	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
04/09	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-2	1-4	1	4	L
30/08	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-3	0-4	4	3	L
22/08	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
16/08	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
08/08	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-2	0	3	L
02/08	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	8	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belgrano (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Belgrano (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Belgrano (W) 81%, draw 15%, Newell's Old Boys (W) 4%.

How many goals are expected in Belgrano (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Belgrano (W) 2.34 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 0.38), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Belgrano (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.