Football · Argentina Championship Women · 06/11, 19:00

Prediction: San Luis FC (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

Team pages: San Luis FC (W) · Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

San Luis FC (W)1.61

Ferro Carril Oeste (W)1.24

1X2

45% 28% 28%

San Luis FC (W) Draw Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

San Luis FC (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWWL

Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLLWLD

Head-to-head

San Luis FC (W) 3–1–1 Ferro Carril Oeste (W) (5 last)

Ferro Carril Oeste (W)0-2San Luis FC (W)
San Luis FC (W)4-1Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)2-1San Luis FC (W)
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)2-2San Luis FC (W)
San Luis FC (W)3-1Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Luis FC (W) 1561 · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 1479

	San Luis FC (W)	Draw	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Our model	45%	27%	28%
Market	44%	28%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Luis FC (W) (rating 1561 vs 1479).
H2H favours San Luis FC (W): 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Luis FC (W)	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.5	2.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.20

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.44 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:51 +8’	2.05	3.20	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:49 +9’	2.44	2.95	2.97

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis FC (W) 3–1–1 Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Argentina Championship Women	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	San Luis FC (W)
25/08/25 Argentina Championship Women	San Luis FC (W)	4-1 HT 2-0	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
19/04/25 Argentina Championship Women	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	San Luis FC (W)
13/09/24 Argentina Championship Women	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	2-2 HT 1-0	San Luis FC (W)
28/04/24 Argentina Championship Women	San Luis FC (W)	3-1	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boca Juniors (W)	11	8	1	2	18	8	25
2	San Luis FC (W)	11	8	0	3	20	13	24
3	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	10	6	3	1	17	7	21
4	Banfield (W)	11	6	3	2	17	9	21
5	San Lorenzo (W)	10	5	4	1	17	8	19
6	Racing Club (W)	11	5	2	4	20	12	17
7	Belgrano (W)	11	5	2	4	19	12	17
8	Social Atletico Television (W)	11	4	5	2	10	7	17
9	Lanus (W)	11	4	3	4	9	11	15
10	River Plate (W)	8	4	2	2	12	6	14
11	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	10	4	2	4	17	17	14
12	Union Santa Fe (W)	11	2	4	5	10	19	10
13	CA Independiente Women	11	3	0	8	13	27	9
14	Huracan (W)	11	2	1	8	9	19	7
15	Gimnasia LP (W)	11	2	1	8	5	18	7
16	Newell's Old Boys (W)	11	0	1	10	4	24	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Luis FC (W)	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Union Santa Fe (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
CA Independiente Women	3-1 W	2-3 L
Huracan (W)	2-0 W	3-2 W
Belgrano (W)	1-0 W	1-3 L
Banfield (W)	1-3 L	1-2 L
Gimnasia LP (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: San Luis FC (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Luis FC (W)

WLLWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
27/09	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
19/09	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-0	0	2	W
12/09	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	3-0	1	6	W
05/09	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	0-0	3-1	3	2	W
29/08	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
22/08	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
16/08	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-2	1-5	1	3	L
09/08	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	1-3	2	2	L
02/08	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-1	3	4	W

Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

WDLWWLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
25/09	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	0-1	2-3	5	6	L
18/09	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	3-2	8	4	W
11/09	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
01/09	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
24/08	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
16/08	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
09/08	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	2-3	6	6	L
03/08	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	2-2	2	7	D
27/07	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Luis FC (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Luis FC (W) win (45%). Probabilities: San Luis FC (W) 45%, draw 28%, Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 28%.

How many goals are expected in San Luis FC (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?

The model expects 2.85 goals (San Luis FC (W) 1.61 · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 1.24), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in San Luis FC (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.