Prediction: Administration Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars
Team pages: Administration Police FC · Ulinzi Stars
- Ulinzi Stars1-1Administration Police FC
- Administration Police FC0-0Ulinzi Stars
- Administration Police FC0-1Ulinzi Stars
- Ulinzi Stars0-0Administration Police FC
- Ulinzi Stars1-1Administration Police FC
| Administration Police FC | Draw | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 33% | 21% |
| Market | 47% | 31% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Administration Police FC | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/75/0% | 33/56/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 1.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Administration Police FC 0–4–1 Ulinzi Stars
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Kenya Premier League | Ulinzi Stars | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Administration Police FC |
| 01/10/25 Kenya Premier League | Administration Police FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ulinzi Stars |
| 18/04/25 Kenya Premier League | Administration Police FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ulinzi Stars |
| 20/10/24 Kenya Premier League | Ulinzi Stars | 0-0 | Administration Police FC |
| 26/05/23 Kenya Premier League | Ulinzi Stars | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Administration Police FC |
Standings · Kenya Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 3 | Mara Sugar FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 4 | AFC Leopards | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Shabana FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | KCB | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Muranga Seal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Administration Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Bandari FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Administration Police FC | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Leopards | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Kakamega Homeboyz | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Shabana FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Administration Police FC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Administration Police FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Mombasa United Kenya Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/10 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | Migori Youth Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/05 | Kariobangi Sharks Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Muranga Seal Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Shabana FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Ulinzi Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/10 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Tusker Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Posta Rangers Kenya Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Tusker Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Mathare United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Shabana FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Bandari FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Administration Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Administration Police FC win (46%). Probabilities: Administration Police FC 46%, draw 32%, Ulinzi Stars 22%.
How many goals are expected in Administration Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars?
The model expects 1.87 goals (Administration Police FC 1.17 · Ulinzi Stars 0.71), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Administration Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.