Football · Poland II Liga · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Slask Wroclaw II vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Team pages: Slask Wroclaw II · Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Slask Wroclaw II1.61

Zawisza Bydgoszcz2.01

1X2

30% 25% 46%

Slask Wroclaw II Draw Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Slask Wroclaw II 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slask Wroclaw II 1430 · Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1510

	Slask Wroclaw II	Draw	Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Our model	30%	23%	46%
Market	29%	26%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zawisza Bydgoszcz (rating 1430 vs 1510).
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slask Wroclaw II	Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.4	2.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	3.2 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.50

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:28 +6’	3.10	3.50	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	13	10	2	1	27	12	32
2	GKS Tychy 71	13	7	6	0	19	7	27
3	Gornik Leczna	13	7	2	4	28	15	23
4	Olimpia Grudziadz	13	6	4	3	17	18	22
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	13	5	5	3	22	20	20
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	13	5	4	4	24	20	19
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	13	5	4	4	19	16	19
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	13	6	1	6	22	24	19
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	13	5	3	5	17	14	18
10	Hutnik Krakow	13	5	3	5	20	18	18
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	13	5	3	5	23	23	18
12	Avia Swidnik	13	5	2	6	16	20	17
13	Legia Warsaw II	13	5	1	7	26	23	16
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
15	Sokol Kleczew	13	2	6	5	16	27	12
16	Slask Wroclaw II	13	3	1	9	22	28	10
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	13	2	3	8	14	30	9
18	Resovia Rzeszow	13	0	6	7	8	21	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slask Wroclaw II	Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Avia Swidnik	1-2 L	4-1 W
Legia Warsaw II	2-2 D	4-1 W
Stal Stalowa Wola	2-3 L	3-3 D
Hutnik Krakow	2-0 W	1-1 D
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	2-4 L	3-4 L
Olimpia Grudziadz	0-1 L	1-2 L
Znicz Pruszków	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Zawisza Bydgoszcz (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slask Wroclaw II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-2	2-4	2	3	L
18/10	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
14/10	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
10/10	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-1	2-3	3	4	L
20/09	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
13/09	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-2	2-4	3	3	L
06/09	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
29/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-2	2-3	1	2	L
23/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
15/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-0	1-2	8	8	L

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	3-1	4-2	5	6	W
18/10	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	1-0	3-4	12	3	L
11/10	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
04/10	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
18/09	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
12/09	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	10	5	D
04/09	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-1	3-3	5	7	D
29/08	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	1-0	4-1	6	3	W
22/08	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-1	4-1	7	4	W
16/08	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-0	2-1	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slask Wroclaw II vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zawisza Bydgoszcz win (46%). Probabilities: Slask Wroclaw II 30%, draw 25%, Zawisza Bydgoszcz 46%.

How many goals are expected in Slask Wroclaw II vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Slask Wroclaw II 1.61 · Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2.01), with a 59% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Slask Wroclaw II vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.