Football · Poland II Liga · 08/11, 12:00

Prediction: Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Chojniczanka Chojnice

Team pages: Rekord Bielsko-Biala · Chojniczanka Chojnice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Rekord Bielsko-Biala1.48

Chojniczanka Chojnice1.58

1X2

35% 26% 39%

Rekord Bielsko-Biala Draw Chojniczanka Chojnice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLDLDL

Chojniczanka Chojnice 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWWLDWLW

Head-to-head

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0–5 Chojniczanka Chojnice (5 last)

Chojniczanka Chojnice2-0Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Rekord Bielsko-Biala0-5Chojniczanka Chojnice
Chojniczanka Chojnice2-1Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Rekord Bielsko-Biala0-1Chojniczanka Chojnice
Chojniczanka Chojnice2-0Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1460 · Chojniczanka Chojnice 1557

	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Draw	Chojniczanka Chojnice
Our model	35%	26%	39%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chojniczanka Chojnice (rating 1460 vs 1557).
H2H favours Chojniczanka Chojnice: 5-0-0.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Chojniczanka Chojnice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	2.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.7	3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 10:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.68 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.60
2	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.30

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:23 +3’	2.55	3.50	2.25
12:21 +8’	2.35▼	3.60▲	2.40▲
17:33 +2’	2.30▼	3.60	2.40
22:04 +3’	2.35▲	3.50▼	2.40
09:58 +19’	2.55▲	3.50	2.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:25 +53’	2.46	3.53	2.53
17:21 +14’	2.43▼	3.75▲	2.46▼
21:51 +16’	2.47▲	3.60▼	2.49▲
09:44 +33’	2.68▲	3.60	2.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0–0–5 Chojniczanka Chojnice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Poland II Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-0 HT 2-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
16/11/25 Poland II Liga	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	0-5 HT 0-3	Chojniczanka Chojnice
06/08/25 Poland Cup	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-1 HT 2-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
16/11/24 Poland II Liga	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	0-1 HT 0-1	Chojniczanka Chojnice
19/07/24 Poland II Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-0 HT 2-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	14	10	2	2	27	15	32
2	Gornik Leczna	15	9	2	4	33	15	29
3	GKS Tychy 71	14	7	6	1	20	9	27
4	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	14	6	4	4	26	20	22
5	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	14	6	4	4	21	17	22
6	Olimpia Grudziadz	14	6	4	4	18	20	22
7	Hutnik Krakow	14	6	3	5	23	20	21
8	Podhale Nowy Targ	14	5	6	3	24	22	21
9	Chojniczanka Chojnice	14	6	3	5	24	23	21
10	Legia Warsaw II	14	6	1	7	28	24	19
11	Stal Stalowa Wola	14	6	1	7	23	26	19
12	Lechia Zielona Góra	14	5	4	5	22	25	19
13	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	14	5	3	6	19	17	18
14	Avia Swidnik	14	5	2	7	16	21	17
15	Sokol Kleczew	14	3	6	5	18	28	15
16	Slask Wroclaw II	14	3	1	10	22	30	10
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	14	2	4	8	16	32	10
18	Resovia Rzeszow	15	0	6	9	9	25	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Chojniczanka Chojnice
Hutnik Krakow	2-3 L	2-1 W
Resovia Rzeszow	1-1 D	2-2 D
Podhale Nowy Targ	1-2 L	2-2 D
OKS Swit Skolwin	3-0 W	5-1 W
Avia Swidnik	1-0 W	1-0 W
Legia Warsaw II	2-1 W	2-3 L
Gornik Leczna	0-1 L	1-3 L
Olimpia Grudziadz	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chojniczanka Chojnice (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rekord Bielsko-Biala

LLWWWLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	2-0	2-3	7	4	L
24/10	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
18/10	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
09/10	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	8	8	D
03/10	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	1-2	3	7	L
18/09	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
13/09	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
06/09	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
30/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
23/08	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-1	1-2	1	3	L

Chojniczanka Chojnice

WDDWWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
24/10	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-2	2-3	8	8	L
17/10	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
09/10	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	2-1	2-2	2	5	D
04/10	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	8	6	L
19/09	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	2-1	3-1	4	2	W
12/09	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	2-1	5-1	7	5	W
05/09	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-2	2-2	8	3	D
29/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
21/08	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chojniczanka Chojnice win (39%). Probabilities: Rekord Bielsko-Biala 35%, draw 26%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 39%.

How many goals are expected in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1.48 · Chojniczanka Chojnice 1.58), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.