Football · Poland II Liga · 31/10, 12:00

Prediction: Podhale Nowy Targ vs OKS Swit Skolwin

Team pages: Podhale Nowy Targ · OKS Swit Skolwin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Podhale Nowy Targ2.38

OKS Swit Skolwin1.19

1X2

63% 21% 17%

Podhale Nowy Targ Draw OKS Swit Skolwin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Podhale Nowy Targ 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLWDDD

OKS Swit Skolwin 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDDWLLWLDL

Head-to-head

Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 OKS Swit Skolwin (2 last)

Podhale Nowy Targ3-1OKS Swit Skolwin
OKS Swit Skolwin3-0Podhale Nowy Targ

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Podhale Nowy Targ 1532 · OKS Swit Skolwin 1451

	Podhale Nowy Targ	Draw	OKS Swit Skolwin
Our model	63%	20%	17%
Market	62%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Podhale Nowy Targ (rating 1532 vs 1451).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Podhale Nowy Targ	OKS Swit Skolwin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5	1.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.20

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:30 +4’	1.44	4.20	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Podhale Nowy Targ 1–0–1 OKS Swit Skolwin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Poland II Liga	Podhale Nowy Targ	3-1 HT 1-1	OKS Swit Skolwin
11/10/25 Poland II Liga	OKS Swit Skolwin	3-0 HT 2-0	Podhale Nowy Targ

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	13	10	2	1	27	12	32
2	GKS Tychy 71	13	7	6	0	19	7	27
3	Gornik Leczna	13	7	2	4	28	15	23
4	Olimpia Grudziadz	13	6	4	3	17	18	22
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	13	5	5	3	22	20	20
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	13	5	4	4	24	20	19
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	13	5	4	4	19	16	19
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	13	6	1	6	22	24	19
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	13	5	3	5	17	14	18
10	Hutnik Krakow	13	5	3	5	20	18	18
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	13	5	3	5	23	23	18
12	Avia Swidnik	13	5	2	6	16	20	17
13	Legia Warsaw II	13	5	1	7	26	23	16
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
15	Sokol Kleczew	13	2	6	5	16	27	12
16	Slask Wroclaw II	13	3	1	9	22	28	10
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	13	2	3	8	14	30	9
18	Resovia Rzeszow	13	0	6	7	8	21	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Podhale Nowy Targ	OKS Swit Skolwin
GKS Tychy 71	0-0 D	1-1 D
Lechia Zielona Góra	0-0 D	4-1 W
Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-2 D	1-5 L
Rekord Bielsko-Biala	2-1 W	0-3 L
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	2-1 W	0-1 L
Olimpia Grudziadz	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Podhale Nowy Targ (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Podhale Nowy Targ

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
18/10	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
09/10	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-2	2-2	7	5	D
03/10	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-0	2-1	8	7	W
19/09	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
12/09	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	3-0	5-0	8	3	W
05/09	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	8	5	W
29/08	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
22/08	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
14/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-3	2-5	4	3	L

OKS Swit Skolwin

LDDWLLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	1-3	2-4	2	6	L
17/10	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
10/10	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
03/10	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	2-1	11	11	W
18/09	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
12/09	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-2	1-5	6	5	L
05/09	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-0	4-1	3	1	W
30/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
22/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
15/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Podhale Nowy Targ vs OKS Swit Skolwin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Podhale Nowy Targ win (63%). Probabilities: Podhale Nowy Targ 63%, draw 21%, OKS Swit Skolwin 17%.

How many goals are expected in Podhale Nowy Targ vs OKS Swit Skolwin?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Podhale Nowy Targ 2.38 · OKS Swit Skolwin 1.19), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs OKS Swit Skolwin?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.