Football · USA USL Championship · 30/10, 23:30
Prediction: Louisville City FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Team pages: Louisville City FC · Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Louisville City FC1.3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0.94
1X2
Louisville City FC
Draw
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Louisville City FC
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Louisville City FC
3–1–2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
(6 last)
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds3-1Louisville City FC
- Louisville City FC0-2Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds0-2Louisville City FC
- Louisville City FC0-0Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds0-1Louisville City FC
- Louisville City FC3-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Louisville City FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Louisville City FC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/90/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.1 | 1.8 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Louisville City FC 3–1–2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 USA USL Championship | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Louisville City FC |
| 10/05/26 USA USL Championship | Louisville City FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
| 14/09/25 USA USL Championship | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Louisville City FC |
| 11/05/25 USA USL Championship | Louisville City FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
| 20/06/24 USA USL Championship | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Louisville City FC |
| 23/03/24 USA USL Championship | Louisville City FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 53 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 43 | 47 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 30 | 45 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 43 |
| 7 | Rhode Island FC | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 33 | 42 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 49 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35 | 41 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United FC | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38 | 48 | 31 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40 | 46 | 30 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 63 | 21 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 78 | 14 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Louisville City FC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit City FC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Hartford Athletic | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Loudoun United FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| El Paso Locomotive FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Rhode Island FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Louisville City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 22/10 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | L |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 27/08 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Louisville City FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Louisville City FC win (44%). Probabilities: Louisville City FC 44%, draw 31%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 26%.
How many goals are expected in Louisville City FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Louisville City FC 1.3 · Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0.94), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Louisville City FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.