Football · USA USL Championship · 31/10, 00:30
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC
Team pages: Tampa Bay Rowdies · Miami FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Tampa Bay Rowdies2.05
Miami FC1.2
1X2
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Draw
Miami FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Tampa Bay Rowdies
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Miami FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tampa Bay Rowdies
4–1–1
Miami FC
(6 last)
- Tampa Bay Rowdies1-2Miami FC
- Miami FC2-3Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Miami FC1-4Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Tampa Bay Rowdies2-1Miami FC
- Tampa Bay Rowdies3-3Miami FC
- Miami FC1-2Tampa Bay Rowdies
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampa Bay Rowdies (rating 1554 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Tampa Bay Rowdies: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Miami FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.8 | 0.6 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampa Bay Rowdies 4–1–1 Miami FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/26 USA USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Miami FC |
| 26/07/26 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 17/05/26 USA USL Cup | Miami FC | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 15/06/25 USA USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Miami FC |
| 27/04/25 USA USL Cup | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 3-3 HT 3-0 | Miami FC |
| 23/03/25 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 53 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 43 | 47 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 30 | 45 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 43 |
| 7 | Rhode Island FC | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 33 | 42 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 49 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35 | 41 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United FC | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38 | 48 | 31 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40 | 46 | 30 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 63 | 21 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 78 | 14 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tampa Bay Rowdies | Miami FC |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting JAX | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Indy Eleven | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Hartford Athletic | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Brooklyn FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Miami FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tampa Bay Rowdies
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 18/10 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 06/09 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Miami FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 11/10 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/10 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/08 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampa Bay Rowdies win (56%). Probabilities: Tampa Bay Rowdies 56%, draw 23%, Miami FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.05 · Miami FC 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.