Football · Tunisia League 2 · 31/10, 14:30

Prediction: Sfax Railways vs SC Ben Arous

Team pages: SC Ben Arous

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.05Total

Sfax Railways1.35

SC Ben Arous0.7

1X2

52% 30% 19%

Sfax Railways Draw SC Ben Arous

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Sfax Railways 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWDDDL

SC Ben Arous 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLWDDW

Head-to-head

Sfax Railways 1–4–1 SC Ben Arous (6 last)

Sfax Railways0-2SC Ben Arous
SC Ben Arous0-0Sfax Railways
SC Ben Arous0-0Sfax Railways
Sfax Railways0-0SC Ben Arous
SC Ben Arous0-0Sfax Railways
Sfax Railways1-0SC Ben Arous

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sfax Railways 1535 · SC Ben Arous 1512

	Sfax Railways	Draw	SC Ben Arous
Our model	51%	31%	18%
Market	52%	29%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sfax Railways	SC Ben Arous
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	0/25/75%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	3.3 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.6	4.5 / 1.5

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.10

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:23 +5’	1.73	3.10	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sfax Railways 1–4–1 SC Ben Arous

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Tunisia League 2	Sfax Railways	0-2	SC Ben Arous
10/11/25 Tunisia League 2	SC Ben Arous	0-0 HT 0-0	Sfax Railways
05/03/22 Tunisia League 2	SC Ben Arous	0-0	Sfax Railways
04/12/21 Tunisia League 2	Sfax Railways	0-0	SC Ben Arous
03/04/21 Tunisia League 2	SC Ben Arous	0-0 HT 0-0	Sfax Railways
28/02/21 Tunisia League 2	Sfax Railways	1-0	SC Ben Arous

Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Msaken	5	3	2	0	8	4	11
2	EM Mahdia	5	3	2	0	10	7	11
3	AS Megrine	5	3	1	1	8	5	10
4	AS Soliman	5	2	2	1	11	7	8
5	SC Ben Arous	5	2	2	1	7	4	8
6	Tataouine	5	2	1	2	7	9	7
7	CS Chebba	5	2	1	2	5	6	7
8	Stade Soussien	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
9	Sfax Railways	5	1	3	1	4	4	6
10	BS Bouhajla	5	1	2	2	2	5	5
11	ES Beni-Khalled	5	1	2	2	3	4	5
12	OC Kerkennah	5	1	1	3	3	5	4
13	AS Agareb	5	0	3	2	3	8	3
14	AS Gabes	5	0	1	4	3	7	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sfax Railways	SC Ben Arous
CS Chebba	2-1 W	0-1 L
AS Agareb	2-1 W	3-0 W
BS Bouhajla	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sfax Railways (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sfax Railways

WWWDWWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Stade Soussien Tunisia League 2	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
18/10	AS Soliman Tunisia League 2	1-2	2-2	7	5	D
10/10	ES Beni-Khalled Tunisia League 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	AS Gabes Tunisia League 2	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
26/09	CS Chebba Tunisia League 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/05	AS Agareb Tunisia League 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
01/05	ES Hammam Sousse Tunisia League 2	0-0	2-2	4	7	D
27/04	CS Msaken Tunisia League 2	2-0	3-1	3	6	W
18/04	US Bousalem Tunisia League 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
13/04	BS Bouhajla Tunisia League 2	–	2-1	–	–	W

SC Ben Arous

LLDLWLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	AS Megrine Tunisia League 2	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
18/10	BS Bouhajla Tunisia League 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/10	Tataouine Tunisia League 2	0-1	2-2	8	8	D
03/10	AS Agareb Tunisia League 2	–	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	EM Mahdia Tunisia League 2	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
11/05	SA Menzel Bourguiba Tunisia League 2	–	6-0	–	–	W
01/05	Tataouine Tunisia League 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/04	AS Megrine Tunisia League 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
18/04	CS Chebba Tunisia League 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/04	AS Agareb Tunisia League 2	0-1	0-1	11	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sfax Railways vs SC Ben Arous?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sfax Railways win (52%). Probabilities: Sfax Railways 52%, draw 30%, SC Ben Arous 19%.

How many goals are expected in Sfax Railways vs SC Ben Arous?

The model expects 2.05 goals (Sfax Railways 1.35 · SC Ben Arous 0.7), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Sfax Railways vs SC Ben Arous?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.