Football · Tunisia League 2 · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: Tataouine vs CS Msaken

Team pages: Tataouine · CS Msaken

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

Tataouine1.48

CS Msaken0.84

1X2

51% 28% 21%

Tataouine Draw CS Msaken

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tataouine 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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CS Msaken 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tataouine 2–0 CS Msaken (2 last)

CS Msaken0-1Tataouine
Tataouine1-0CS Msaken

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tataouine 1528 · CS Msaken 1504

	Tataouine	Draw	CS Msaken
Our model	51%	29%	20%
Market	51%	28%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tataouine: 2-0-0.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tataouine	CS Msaken
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.8 / 7.6	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.20

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.75▼	Bet365 1.75
X	3.00 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
2	4.00 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:27 +15’	1.90	3.00	4.00
14:17 +5’	1.75▼	3.20▲	4.33▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tataouine 2–0–0 CS Msaken

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Tunisia League 2	CS Msaken	0-1 HT 0-0	Tataouine
27/09/25 Tunisia League 2	Tataouine	1-0 HT 0-0	CS Msaken

Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EM Mahdia	7	5	2	0	14	7	17
2	CS Msaken	7	4	2	1	12	7	14
3	AS Soliman	7	3	3	1	13	8	12
4	AS Megrine	7	3	2	2	9	8	11
5	Tataouine	7	3	2	2	12	13	11
6	CS Chebba	6	3	1	2	6	6	10
7	SC Ben Arous	6	2	3	1	7	4	9
8	Stade Soussien	6	2	1	3	6	6	7
9	AS Agareb	7	1	4	2	7	10	7
10	Sfax Railways	6	1	4	1	4	4	7
11	OC Kerkennah	6	1	2	3	4	6	5
12	BS Bouhajla	7	1	2	4	2	9	5
13	ES Beni-Khalled	7	1	2	4	3	7	5
14	AS Gabes	6	0	2	4	4	8	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tataouine	CS Msaken
AS Agareb	2-2 D	2-0 W
EM Mahdia	2-3 L	2-2 D
OC Kerkennah	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CS Msaken (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tataouine

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	AS Agareb Tunisia League 2	0-2	2-2	13	6	D
26/10	EM Mahdia Tunisia League 2	2-2	2-3	1	6	L
18/10	OC Kerkennah Tunisia League 2	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
11/10	SC Ben Arous Tunisia League 2	1-0	2-2	5	8	D
03/10	Stade Soussienf Tunisia League 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
26/09	AS Soliman Tunisia League 2	–	1-4	–	–	L
25/05	Stade Gabesien Tunisia League 2	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
11/05	BS Bouhajla Tunisia League 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
01/05	SC Ben Arous Tunisia League 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/04	EM Mahdia Tunisia League 2	–	1-0	–	–	W

CS Msaken

DLLLWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	ES Beni-Khalled Tunisia League 2	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
26/10	AS Agareb Tunisia League 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
18/10	AS Gabes Tunisia League 2	2-1	2-1	7	9	W
10/10	EM Mahdia Tunisia League 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	CS Chebba Tunisia League 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
26/09	OC Kerkennah Tunisia League 2	0-0	2-1	2	3	W
11/05	CS Chebba Tunisia League 2	1-2	2-4	3	4	L
01/05	AS Agareb Tunisia League 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/04	Sfax Railways Tunisia League 2	0-2	1-3	10	6	L
22/04	ES Hammam Sousse Tunisia League 2	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tataouine vs CS Msaken?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tataouine win (51%). Probabilities: Tataouine 51%, draw 28%, CS Msaken 21%.

How many goals are expected in Tataouine vs CS Msaken?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Tataouine 1.48 · CS Msaken 0.84), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Tataouine vs CS Msaken?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.