Football · Tunisia League 2 · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: EM Mahdia vs AS Megrine

Team pages: EM Mahdia · AS Megrine

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
EM Mahdia1.39
AS Megrine0.85
1X2
49% 29% 22%
EM Mahdia Draw AS Megrine
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
EM Mahdia 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLLLWWDDWW
AS Megrine 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DDDDWDWWLD
Head-to-head
EM Mahdia 0–1–3 AS Megrine (4 last)
  • AS Megrine0-0EM Mahdia
  • EM Mahdia0-1AS Megrine
  • EM Mahdia1-3AS Megrine
  • AS Megrine2-1EM Mahdia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EM Mahdia 1509 · AS Megrine 1536
EM MahdiaDrawAS Megrine
Our model48%30%22%
Market49%29%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours AS Megrine: 3-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EM MahdiaAS Megrine
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.21.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.70.6 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/67/0%43/57/0%
Corners (HT / FT)0.5 / 1.33.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.75.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · EM Mahdia 0–1–3 AS Megrine

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Tunisia League 2
AS Megrine0-0
HT 0-0
EM Mahdia
22/11/25
Tunisia League 2
EM Mahdia0-1
HT 0-1
AS Megrine
24/05/25
Tunisia League 2
EM Mahdia1-3
HT 1-2
AS Megrine
04/01/25
Tunisia League 2
AS Megrine2-1
HT 0-1
EM Mahdia

Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 EM Mahdia 7520 14717
2 CS Msaken 7421 12714
3 AS Soliman 7331 13812
4 AS Megrine 7322 9811
5 Tataouine 7322 121311
6 CS Chebba 6312 6610
7 SC Ben Arous 6231 749
8 Stade Soussien 6213 667
9 AS Agareb 7142 7107
10 Sfax Railways 6141 447
11 OC Kerkennah 6123 465
12 BS Bouhajla 7124 295
13 ES Beni-Khalled 7124 375
14 AS Gabes 6024 482

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEM MahdiaAS Megrine
BS Bouhajla 2-0 W 1-1 D
OC Kerkennah 2-1 W 1-1 D
SC Ben Arous 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: EM Mahdia (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EM Mahdia

DLLLWWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 BS Bouhajla
Tunisia League 2
– 2-0 –– W
26/10 Tataouine
Tunisia League 2
2-2 3-2 26 W
18/10 AS Agareb
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 –– D
10/10 CS Msaken
Tunisia League 2
– 2-2 –– D
03/10 OC Kerkennah
Tunisia League 2
– 2-1 –– W
26/09 SC Ben Arous
Tunisia League 2
1-0 2-1 04 W
11/05 OC Kerkennah
Tunisia League 2
– 1-3 –– L
01/05 SA Menzel Bourguiba
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
27/04 Tataouine
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
18/04 AS Megrine
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 25 D

AS Megrine

DDDDWDWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 OC Kerkennah
Tunisia League 2
1-0 1-1 96 D
26/10 SC Ben Arous
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-1 74 L
18/10 Stade Soussien
Tunisia League 2
1-0 2-0 57 W
10/10 AS Soliman
Tunisia League 2
2-0 3-2 27 W
03/10 ES Beni-Khalled
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 75 D
26/09 AS Gabes
Tunisia League 2
0-0 2-1 46 W
11/05 US Bousalem
Tunisia League 2
– 2-2 –– D
01/05 BS Bouhajla
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-1 44 D
27/04 SC Ben Arous
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 –– D
18/04 EM Mahdia
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 85 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EM Mahdia vs AS Megrine?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EM Mahdia win (49%). Probabilities: EM Mahdia 49%, draw 29%, AS Megrine 22%.

How many goals are expected in EM Mahdia vs AS Megrine?

The model expects 2.24 goals (EM Mahdia 1.39 · AS Megrine 0.85), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in EM Mahdia vs AS Megrine?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.