Football · Tunisia League 2 · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: Stade Gabesien vs Kalaa Sport

Team pages: Stade Gabesien · Kalaa Sport

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Stade Gabesien1.36
Kalaa Sport0.65
1X2
54% 29% 17%
Stade Gabesien Draw Kalaa Sport
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Stade Gabesien 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DDWLDDLWDD
Kalaa Sport 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LDWLWLLWLW
Head-to-head
Stade Gabesien 2–1–1 Kalaa Sport (4 last)
  • Stade Gabesien2-0Kalaa Sport
  • Kalaa Sport0-1Stade Gabesien
  • Kalaa Sport2-1Stade Gabesien
  • Stade Gabesien0-0Kalaa Sport
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stade Gabesien 1516 · Kalaa Sport 1479
Stade GabesienDrawKalaa Sport
Our model53%30%17%
Market54%28%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Stade Gabesien: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Stade GabesienKalaa Sport
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.81.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.40.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/86/14%14/29/57%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.92.8 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.14.6 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stade Gabesien 2–1–1 Kalaa Sport

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/04/26
Tunisia League 2
Stade Gabesien2-0Kalaa Sport
22/11/25
Tunisia League 2
Kalaa Sport0-1
HT 0-0
Stade Gabesien
01/04/23
Tunisia League 2
Kalaa Sport2-1Stade Gabesien
23/11/22
Tunisia League 2
Stade Gabesien0-0Kalaa Sport

Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 AS Kasserine 7502 10615
2 US Ksour Essef 6420 7114
3 ES Bouchamma 7412 7913
4 CS Korba 6321 8411
5 Jendouba Sport 6321 4211
6 JS Kairouanaise 6312 3210
7 EGS Gafsa 6303 879
8 Kalaa Sport 6303 659
9 Stade Gabesien 6141 557
10 CS Redeyef 6204 646
11 AS Ariana 6123 455
12 Olympique du Kef 6123 575
13 Club Olympique Medenine 6114 3104
14 Moknine 6015 2111

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStade GabesienKalaa Sport
Jendouba Sport 0-0 D 1-3 L
CS Redeyef 1-0 W 1-0 W
ES Bouchamma 1-2 L 0-1 L
Moknine 0-0 D 3-0 W
AS Ariana 1-1 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Stade Gabesien (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stade Gabesien

DDWLDDLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Jendouba Sport
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D
27/10 CS Korba
Tunisia League 2
1-1 2-2 49 D
19/10 CS Redeyef
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-0 34 W
11/10 ES Bouchamma
Tunisia League 2
– 1-2 –– L
04/10 Moknine
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 64 D
27/09 AS Ariana
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-1 14 D
30/05 CS Hammam Lif
Tunisia League 2
0-2 0-3 56 L
25/05 Tataouine
Tunisia League 2
0-0 2-0 43 W
12/05 AS Djelma
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D
02/05 Progres Sakiet Eddaier
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 47 D

Kalaa Sport

LDWLWLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 CS Redeyef
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-0 118 W
26/10 ES Bouchamma
Tunisia League 2
0-1 0-1 37 L
19/10 Moknine
Tunisia League 2
3-0 3-0 33 W
11/10 AS Ariana
Tunisia League 2
0-1 0-2 45 L
04/10 JS Kairouanaise
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
27/09 Club Olympique Medenine
Tunisia League 2
0-0 2-1 33 W
12/05 Jendouba Sport
Tunisia League 2
1-2 1-3 33 L
02/05 US Ksour Essef
Tunisia League 2
– 2-1 –– W
28/04 CS Redeyef
Tunisia League 2
0-1 2-2 147 D
22/04 Stade Gabesien
Tunisia League 2
– 0-2 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stade Gabesien vs Kalaa Sport?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stade Gabesien win (54%). Probabilities: Stade Gabesien 54%, draw 29%, Kalaa Sport 17%.

How many goals are expected in Stade Gabesien vs Kalaa Sport?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Stade Gabesien 1.36 · Kalaa Sport 0.65), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Stade Gabesien vs Kalaa Sport?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.