Prediction: Moknine vs EGS Gafsa
Team pages: Moknine · EGS Gafsa
- EGS Gafsa3-0Moknine
- Moknine0-0EGS Gafsa
- Moknine1-1EGS Gafsa
- EGS Gafsa4-1Moknine
| Moknine | Draw | EGS Gafsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EGS Gafsa (rating 1432 vs 1510).
- H2H favours EGS Gafsa: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moknine | EGS Gafsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1.8 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/25/75% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 0 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moknine 0–2–2 EGS Gafsa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Tunisia League 2 | EGS Gafsa | 3-0 | Moknine |
| 05/10/25 Tunisia League 2 | Moknine | 0-0 | EGS Gafsa |
| 27/05/23 Tunisia League 2 | Moknine | 1-1 | EGS Gafsa |
| 08/01/23 Tunisia League 2 | EGS Gafsa | 4-1 | Moknine |
Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Kasserine | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | US Ksour Essef | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 | ES Bouchamma | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | CS Korba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Jendouba Sport | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | JS Kairouanaise | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | EGS Gafsa | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Kalaa Sport | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Stade Gabesien | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | CS Redeyef | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | AS Ariana | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Olympique du Kef | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Club Olympique Medenine | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
| 14 | Moknine | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moknine | EGS Gafsa |
|---|---|---|
| US Ksour Essef | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Jendouba Sport | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| CS Redeyef | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| AS Ariana | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: EGS Gafsa (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moknine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | AS Kasserine Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/10 | US Ksour Essef Tunisia League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/10 | Kalaa Sport Tunisia League 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Stade Gabesien Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | CS Redeyef Tunisia League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 12/05 | AS Ariana Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/04 | US Ksour Essef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | CS Redeyef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
EGS Gafsa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | AS Ariana Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/10 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/10 | Club Olympique Medenine Tunisia League 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Olympique du Kef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | CS Korba Tunisia League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | EO Sidi Bouzid Tunisia League 2 |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | AS Ariana Tunisia League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/04 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | US Ksour Essef Tunisia League 2 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | CS Redeyef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moknine vs EGS Gafsa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Moknine win (40%). Probabilities: Moknine 40%, draw 30%, EGS Gafsa 30%.
How many goals are expected in Moknine vs EGS Gafsa?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Moknine 1.36 · EGS Gafsa 1.15), with a 58% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Moknine vs EGS Gafsa?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.