Football · Romania Liga III · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: CS Sporting Liesti vs CS Gheorgheni

Team pages: CS Sporting Liesti · CS Gheorgheni

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.03Total
CS Sporting Liesti2.65
CS Gheorgheni1.38
1X2
63% 20% 17%
CS Sporting Liesti Draw CS Gheorgheni
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
CS Sporting Liesti 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWWLWLWLLW
CS Gheorgheni 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWLWLDLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Sporting Liesti 1510 · CS Gheorgheni 1457
CS Sporting LiestiDrawCS Gheorgheni
Our model64%19%18%
Market62%22%16%
Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Sporting Liesti (rating 1510 vs 1457).
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CS Sporting LiestiCS Gheorgheni
Goals for / against (FT)3.1 / 2.11.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.80 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/50/25%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 5.51.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)7.5 / 0.32.5 / 0

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 4

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Agricola Borcea 9801 31924
2 ACS Progresul Fundulea 9603 241218
3 Inainte Modelu 9513 181316
4 CS Agigea 9432 131215
5 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 9504 202115
6 CS Sporting Liesti 9504 281915
7 CSA Axiopolis 9414 171913
8 Unirea Branistea 9414 161413
9 Dunarea Calarasi 9324 81311
10 Gloria Baneasa 9216 13227
11 Otelul Galati II 9216 10237
12 CS Portul Constanta 9108 11323

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Sporting Liesti

WWWLWLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 CSA Axiopolis
Romania Liga III
1-1 4-1 67 W
10/10 ACS Progresul Fundulea
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-2 56 L
03/10 FC Agricola Borcea
Romania Liga III
– 3-5 –– L
26/09 Otelul Galati II
Romania Liga III
– 6-1 –– W
23/09 Dunarea Calarasi
Romania Liga III
– 2-3 –– L
19/09 Inainte Modelu
Romania Liga III
– 5-4 –– W
12/09 CS Agigea
Romania Liga III
– 0-2 –– L
05/09 CS Portul Constanta
Romania Liga III
– 6-0 –– W
29/08 Unirea Branistea
Romania Liga III
0-0 2-1 68 W
23/05 AS Stiinta Miroslava
Romania Liga III
2-1 3-2 510 W

CS Gheorgheni

WLLWLWLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D
10/10 CSM Adjud
Romania Liga III
– 1-4 –– L
03/10 ACS FC Bacau II
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-1 53 D
26/09 USV Iasi
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-2 42 L
23/09 Viitorul Onesti
Romania Liga III
– 2-0 –– W
19/09 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
– 2-4 –– L
12/09 CSM Pascani
Romania Liga III
– 4-2 –– W
04/09 Aerostar Bacau
Romania Liga III
– 1-2 –– L
29/08 Odorheiu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
– 0-1 –– L
16/05 Odorheiu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
– 2-1 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Sporting Liesti vs CS Gheorgheni?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Sporting Liesti win (63%). Probabilities: CS Sporting Liesti 63%, draw 20%, CS Gheorgheni 17%.

How many goals are expected in CS Sporting Liesti vs CS Gheorgheni?

The model expects 4.03 goals (CS Sporting Liesti 2.65 · CS Gheorgheni 1.38), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Sporting Liesti vs CS Gheorgheni?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.