Football · Romania Liga III · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Oxigen Bucuresti vs CSM Alexandria

Team pages: CSM Alexandria

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Oxigen Bucuresti1.21
CSM Alexandria1.82
1X2
25% 24% 51%
Oxigen Bucuresti Draw CSM Alexandria
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Oxigen Bucuresti 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLDLWLWWLL
CSM Alexandria 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWLDWWWWDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oxigen Bucuresti 1469 · CSM Alexandria 1532
Oxigen BucurestiDrawCSM Alexandria
Our model24%25%51%
Market26%22%52%
Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSM Alexandria (rating 1469 vs 1532).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Oxigen BucurestiCSM Alexandria
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.11.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.30.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/33/33%25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.21.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.34.3 / 0.5

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 5

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti 10730 14624
2 Dunarea Giurgiu 10550 221220
3 ACS Inter Ilfov 10622 251420
4 CSM Alexandria 10532 141018
5 Progresul Mogosoaia 10433 171915
6 Acs Axi Arena 10406 71712
7 Dinamo Bucharest II 10406 101512
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 10253 201411
9 Steaua Bucharest II 10316 202610
10 Oxigen Bucuresti 10316 142110
11 FC Voluntari II 10226 12188
12 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 10217 10137

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOxigen BucurestiCSM Alexandria
Progresul Mogosoaia 2-4 L 2-2 D
ACS Inter Ilfov 1-3 L 0-3 L
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 2-0 W 1-1 D
Dinamo Bucharest II 2-1 W 1-0 W
FC Voluntari II 1-2 L 2-0 W
Acs Axi Arena 1-0 W 2-0 W
Steaua Bucharest II 1-2 L 3-1 W
Dunarea Giurgiu 2-2 D 2-2 D
CS Omega Sport Bucuresti 1-2 L 0-1 L
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 1-5 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 6 L 5 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CSM Alexandria (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oxigen Bucuresti

LLDLWLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Progresul Mogosoaia
Romania Liga III
1-4 2-4 54 L
16/10 ACS Inter Ilfov
Romania Liga III
1-3 1-3 43 L
09/10 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Romania Liga III
2-0 2-0 34 W
02/10 Dinamo Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
1-1 2-1 94 W
25/09 FC Voluntari II
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-2 24 L
22/09 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-0 55 W
18/09 Steaua Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
– 1-2 41 L
12/09 Dunarea Giurgiu
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D
04/09 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
– 1-2 27 L
29/08 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
– 1-5 42 L

CSM Alexandria

DWLDWWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 ACS Inter Ilfov
Romania Liga III
– 0-3 –– L
16/10 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Romania Liga III
– 1-1 –– D
09/10 Dinamo Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
– 1-0 –– W
02/10 FC Voluntari II
Romania Liga III
0-0 2-0 42 W
25/09 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
– 2-0 –– W
22/09 Steaua Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
2-1 3-1 35 W
18/09 Dunarea Giurgiu
Romania Liga III
1-2 2-2 68 D
12/09 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-1 94 L
04/09 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
– 1-0 –– W
28/08 Progresul Mogosoaia
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oxigen Bucuresti vs CSM Alexandria?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CSM Alexandria win (51%). Probabilities: Oxigen Bucuresti 25%, draw 24%, CSM Alexandria 51%.

How many goals are expected in Oxigen Bucuresti vs CSM Alexandria?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Oxigen Bucuresti 1.21 · CSM Alexandria 1.82), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Oxigen Bucuresti vs CSM Alexandria?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.