Football · Romania Liga III · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: CS Unirea Santana vs CS Metalurgistul Cugir

Team pages: CS Unirea Santana · CS Metalurgistul Cugir

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

CS Unirea Santana1.63

CS Metalurgistul Cugir1.29

1X2

45% 26% 30%

CS Unirea Santana Draw CS Metalurgistul Cugir

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Unirea Santana 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWLDL

CS Metalurgistul Cugir 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLDWLDLWW

Head-to-head

CS Unirea Santana 2–0 CS Metalurgistul Cugir (2 last)

CS Unirea Santana3-2CS Metalurgistul Cugir
CS Metalurgistul Cugir1-2CS Unirea Santana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Unirea Santana 1531 · CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1476

	CS Unirea Santana	Draw	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Our model	44%	27%	29%
Market	45%	25%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Unirea Santana (rating 1531 vs 1476).
H2H favours CS Unirea Santana: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Unirea Santana	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	0/43/57%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 3.5	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:12 +15’	2.00	3.60	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Unirea Santana 2–0–0 CS Metalurgistul Cugir

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/12/25 Romania Liga III	CS Unirea Santana	3-2	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
26/09/25 Romania Liga III	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	1-2	CS Unirea Santana

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	10	7	2	1	29	5	23
2	CS Timisul Sag	10	6	2	2	13	6	20
3	CSM Deva	10	5	3	2	23	15	18
4	ACS CIL Blaj	10	5	3	2	19	16	18
5	ACS Viitorul Arad	10	5	3	2	15	13	18
6	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	10	5	3	2	18	12	18
7	CS Unirea Santana	10	5	1	4	15	9	16
8	ACS Progresul Pecica	11	4	1	6	18	25	13
9	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	10	3	3	4	14	16	12
10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II	10	2	1	7	11	23	7
11	CSU Alba Iulia	10	0	4	6	7	19	4
12	FC Nera Bogodinti	11	0	2	9	5	28	2

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Unirea Santana	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	0-3 L	3-3 D
ACS CIL Blaj	0-0 D	0-2 L
CS Timisul Sag	1-2 L	0-1 L
CSU Alba Iulia	1-0 W	2-1 W
ACS Progresul Pecica	4-1 W	2-1 W
CSM Deva	3-0 W	0-2 L
ACS Viitorul Arad	0-1 L	1-3 L
FC Nera Bogodinti	2-0 W	3-0 W
Unirea Alba Iulia	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CS Unirea Santana (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Unirea Santana

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
09/10	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	0-2	1-2	2	2	L
02/10	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
26/09	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/09	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	2-0	3-0	1	3	W
19/09	Stinta Poli Timisoara 2 Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
12/09	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L

CS Metalurgistul Cugir

LDLDWLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
17/10	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	0-1	2-1	2	7	W
09/10	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	0-0	0-2	7	5	L
02/10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II Romania Liga III	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
26/09	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	1-2	1-3	8	4	L
23/09	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	–	3-0	–	–	W
18/09	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-1	2-2	0	5	D
11/09	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
04/09	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	1-2	3-3	3	3	D
29/08	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Unirea Santana vs CS Metalurgistul Cugir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Unirea Santana win (45%). Probabilities: CS Unirea Santana 45%, draw 26%, CS Metalurgistul Cugir 30%.

How many goals are expected in CS Unirea Santana vs CS Metalurgistul Cugir?

The model expects 2.91 goals (CS Unirea Santana 1.63 · CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Unirea Santana vs CS Metalurgistul Cugir?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.