Football · Romania Liga III · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: CS Tunari vs FC Pucioasa

Team pages: CS Tunari · FC Pucioasa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

CS Tunari2.43

FC Pucioasa0.56

1X2

79% 14% 7%

CS Tunari Draw FC Pucioasa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Tunari 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLWDWW

FC Pucioasa 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDLWDWLW

Head-to-head

CS Tunari 4–0 FC Pucioasa (4 last)

FC Pucioasa1-4CS Tunari
CS Tunari3-0FC Pucioasa
CS Tunari2-0FC Pucioasa
FC Pucioasa0-2CS Tunari

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Tunari 1580 · FC Pucioasa 1488

	CS Tunari	Draw	FC Pucioasa
Our model	78%	16%	6%
Market	80%	11%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Tunari (rating 1580 vs 1488).
H2H favours CS Tunari: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Tunari	FC Pucioasa
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.1	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	75/25/0%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.14

X8.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)2.00

2 (+2.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +16’	1.14	8.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Tunari 4–0–0 FC Pucioasa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/24 Romania Liga III	FC Pucioasa	1-4 HT 1-2	CS Tunari
05/10/24 Romania Liga III	CS Tunari	3-0 HT 3-0	FC Pucioasa
05/11/22 Romania Liga III	CS Tunari	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Pucioasa
02/09/22 Romania Liga III	FC Pucioasa	0-2 HT 0-1	CS Tunari

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Flacara Moreni	10	9	1	0	36	7	28
2	CS Tunari	10	7	2	1	22	11	23
3	CS Blejoi	10	5	2	3	18	13	17
4	Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca	10	5	2	3	29	25	17
5	Vointa 2024 Crevedia	10	4	1	5	21	19	13
6	ACS Progresul Draganesti	10	3	4	3	14	21	13
7	FC Pucioasa	10	3	3	4	11	10	12
8	CS Urban Titu	10	3	3	4	14	19	12
9	CSM Ramnicu Sarat	10	3	3	4	16	25	12
10	CSO Plopeni	10	3	1	6	11	21	10
11	ACS Viitorul Corbeanca	10	1	4	5	5	12	7
12	FC Paulesti	10	0	2	8	5	19	2

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Tunari	FC Pucioasa
Vointa 2024 Crevedia	2-0 W	2-2 D
CS Blejoi	4-0 W	1-1 D
ACS Progresul Draganesti	2-2 D	0-1 L
ACS Viitorul Corbeanca	2-0 W	0-1 L
CSM Flacara Moreni	0-6 L	0-1 L
FC Paulesti	2-0 W	1-0 W
CS Urban Titu	3-0 W	1-2 L
Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca	2-2 D	3-2 W
CSO Plopeni	3-0 W	0-0 D
CSM Ramnicu Sarat	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CS Tunari (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Tunari

WWDWWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Vointa 2024 Crevedia Romania Liga III	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
17/10	CS Blejoi Romania Liga III	4-0	4-0	2	3	W
09/10	ACS Progresul Draganesti Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	ACS Viitorul Corbeanca Romania Liga III	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
25/09	CSM Flacara Moreni Romania Liga III	–	0-6	–	–	L
22/09	FC Paulesti Romania Liga III	0-0	2-0	7	1	W
19/09	CS Urban Titu Romania Liga III	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
12/09	Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca Romania Liga III	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
05/09	CSO Plopeni Romania Liga III	1-0	3-0	11	2	W
28/08	CSM Ramnicu Sarat Romania Liga III	2-0	2-1	6	3	W

FC Pucioasa

LLDDLWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Paulesti Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
16/10	CS Urban Titu Romania Liga III	0-0	1-2	2	8	L
10/10	Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca Romania Liga III	–	3-2	–	–	W
03/10	CSO Plopeni Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
26/09	CSM Ramnicu Sarat Romania Liga III	–	3-0	–	–	W
22/09	CSM Flacara Moreni Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	Vointa 2024 Crevedia Romania Liga III	2-1	2-2	2	3	D
12/09	CS Blejoi Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	ACS Progresul Draganesti Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	ACS Viitorul Corbeanca Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Tunari vs FC Pucioasa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Tunari win (79%). Probabilities: CS Tunari 79%, draw 14%, FC Pucioasa 7%.

How many goals are expected in CS Tunari vs FC Pucioasa?

The model expects 2.99 goals (CS Tunari 2.43 · FC Pucioasa 0.56), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Tunari vs FC Pucioasa?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.