Football · Romania Liga III · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: AFC Unirea Tasnad vs Sighetu Marmatiei

Team pages: AFC Unirea Tasnad · Sighetu Marmatiei

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

AFC Unirea Tasnad1.39

Sighetu Marmatiei1.25

1X2

40% 27% 33%

AFC Unirea Tasnad Draw Sighetu Marmatiei

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Unirea Tasnad 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLDWWL

Sighetu Marmatiei 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDWLLWWW

Head-to-head

AFC Unirea Tasnad 0–1–1 Sighetu Marmatiei (2 last)

Sighetu Marmatiei1-1AFC Unirea Tasnad
AFC Unirea Tasnad1-3Sighetu Marmatiei

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Unirea Tasnad 1466 · Sighetu Marmatiei 1531

	AFC Unirea Tasnad	Draw	Sighetu Marmatiei
Our model	39%	29%	32%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sighetu Marmatiei (rating 1466 vs 1531).
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Unirea Tasnad	Sighetu Marmatiei
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.9	1.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	25/75/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	0 / 2.3	4 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	5.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:17 +8’	2.20	3.60	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Unirea Tasnad 0–1–1 Sighetu Marmatiei

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/12/25 Romania Liga III	Sighetu Marmatiei	1-1	AFC Unirea Tasnad
27/09/25 Romania Liga III	AFC Unirea Tasnad	1-3	Sighetu Marmatiei

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Minaur Baia Mare	10	7	2	1	27	7	23
2	CS Sanatatea Cluj	10	5	4	1	17	7	19
3	CS Crisul Santandrei	10	6	1	3	17	14	19
4	CS Academica Recea	10	6	0	4	22	18	18
5	Sighetu Marmatiei	10	5	2	3	19	9	17
6	SCM Zalau	10	4	4	2	15	8	16
7	CF Bihorul Beius	10	3	4	3	9	10	13
8	CS Lotus Baile Felix	10	3	4	3	16	17	13
9	ACS Viitorul Cluj	10	3	3	4	18	15	12
10	AFC Unirea Tasnad	10	2	3	5	6	19	9
11	Unirea Dej	10	1	2	7	5	17	5
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	10	0	1	9	7	37	1

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Unirea Tasnad	Sighetu Marmatiei
CS Minaur Baia Mare	1-3 L	1-2 L
Transilvania Sport Academy	2-1 W	5-0 W
ACS Viitorul Cluj	1-0 W	2-1 W
Unirea Dej	0-0 D	3-0 W
CS Academica Recea	1-2 L	0-1 L
SCM Zalau	0-4 L	0-2 L
CF Bihorul Beius	0-0 D	3-0 W
CS Lotus Baile Felix	0-5 L	1-1 D
CS Sanatatea Cluj	1-1 D	0-0 D
CS Crisul Santandrei	0-3 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sighetu Marmatiei (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Unirea Tasnad

LDLDLLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III	0-1	1-3	1	2	L
17/10	Transilvania Sport Academy Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/10	Unirea Dej Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
26/09	CS Academica Recea Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/09	SCM Zalau Romania Liga III	–	0-4	–	–	L
19/09	CF Bihorul Beius Romania Liga III	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/09	CS Lotus Baile Felix Romania Liga III	–	0-5	–	–	L
05/09	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	–	1-1	4	3	D
29/08	CS Crisul Santandrei Romania Liga III	–	0-3	–	–	L

Sighetu Marmatiei

LWDDWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Transilvania Sport Academy Romania Liga III	–	5-0	–	–	W
16/10	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
10/10	Unirea Dej Romania Liga III	–	3-0	–	–	W
02/10	CS Academica Recea Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	11	8	L
26/09	SCM Zalau Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
23/09	CF Bihorul Beius Romania Liga III	–	3-0	–	–	W
19/09	CS Lotus Baile Felix Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/09	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
05/09	CS Crisul Santandrei Romania Liga III	–	4-2	–	–	W
29/08	CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III	1-1	1-2	3	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Unirea Tasnad vs Sighetu Marmatiei?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Unirea Tasnad win (40%). Probabilities: AFC Unirea Tasnad 40%, draw 27%, Sighetu Marmatiei 33%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Unirea Tasnad vs Sighetu Marmatiei?

The model expects 2.63 goals (AFC Unirea Tasnad 1.39 · Sighetu Marmatiei 1.25), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Unirea Tasnad vs Sighetu Marmatiei?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.