Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 24/10, 10:00

Prediction: Salernitana U19 vs Palermo U19

Team pages: Salernitana U19 · Palermo U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Salernitana U191.03

Palermo U192.11

1X2

17% 22% 61%

Salernitana U19 Draw Palermo U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Salernitana U19 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLLLD

Palermo U19 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLLWWDDW

Head-to-head

Salernitana U19 3–1–2 Palermo U19 (6 last)

Salernitana U191-1Palermo U19
Palermo U190-2Salernitana U19
Salernitana U194-2Palermo U19
Palermo U194-2Salernitana U19
Palermo U190-1Salernitana U19
Salernitana U190-1Palermo U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salernitana U19 1415 · Palermo U19 1526

	Salernitana U19	Draw	Palermo U19
Our model	17%	22%	61%
Market	17%	22%	61%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palermo U19 (rating 1415 vs 1526).
H2H favours Salernitana U19: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Salernitana U19	Palermo U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 3.2	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1.8	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/22/78%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.3	2.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.25

X4.10

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.80

2 (-1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:09 +3’	5.25	4.10	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Salernitana U19 3–1–2 Palermo U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Salernitana U19	1-1	Palermo U19
10/01/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Palermo U19	0-2 HT 0-0	Salernitana U19
08/02/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Salernitana U19	4-2 HT 0-1	Palermo U19
09/11/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Palermo U19	4-2 HT 2-1	Salernitana U19
27/01/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Palermo U19	0-1 HT 0-0	Salernitana U19
11/11/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Salernitana U19	0-1	Palermo U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Catanzaro U19	5	5	0	0	15	3	15
2	Perugia U19	5	4	0	1	13	3	12
3	Palermo U19	5	3	2	0	9	5	11
4	Benevento U19	5	3	1	1	14	5	10
5	Bari U19	5	2	3	0	9	4	9
6	Avellino U19	5	3	0	2	9	6	9
7	Pescara U19	5	2	2	1	14	11	8
8	Monopoli U19	5	2	2	1	10	7	8
9	Latina U19	5	2	1	2	10	7	7
10	Pisa U19	5	2	0	3	9	10	6
11	Napoli U19	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
12	Spezia U19	5	1	1	3	7	11	4
13	Frosinone U19	5	1	1	3	4	13	4
14	Ascoli U19	5	0	2	3	7	14	2
15	Salernitana U19	5	0	1	4	4	20	1
16	Cosenza U19	5	0	0	5	2	15	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Salernitana U19	Palermo U19
Pescara U19	3-3 D	3-1 W
Perugia U19	0-6 L	1-0 W
Bari U19	0-4 L	2-2 D
Avellino U19	1-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Palermo U19 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salernitana U19

LLDLWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	3-3	3	6	D
10/10	Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
19/09	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-5	0-6	3	4	L
12/09	Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-3	1-4	6	3	L
05/09	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-4	3	3	L
09/05	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
02/05	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	2-3	–	–	L
25/04	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
18/04	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-3	4	0	L
11/04	Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-4	3	2	L

Palermo U19

DWDLLWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-0	8	5	W
10/10	Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
19/09	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-2	6	3	D
12/09	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	3-2	3	7	W
08/09	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	3-1	6	0	W
09/05	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
02/05	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-3	8	6	L
25/04	Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/04	Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-1	7-1	1	0	W
11/04	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-1	1	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salernitana U19 vs Palermo U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Palermo U19 win (61%). Probabilities: Salernitana U19 17%, draw 22%, Palermo U19 61%.

How many goals are expected in Salernitana U19 vs Palermo U19?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Salernitana U19 1.03 · Palermo U19 2.11), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Salernitana U19 vs Palermo U19?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.