Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 26/10, 20:30
Prediction: Crotone vs Casarano
Team pages: Crotone · Casarano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Crotone1.65
Casarano1.17
1X2
Crotone
Draw
Casarano
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Crotone
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Casarano
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crotone
2–0
Casarano
(2 last)
- Casarano1-2Crotone
- Crotone2-0Casarano
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Crotone: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crotone | Casarano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.2 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crotone 2–0–0 Casarano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Casarano | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Crotone |
| 15/12/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Crotone | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Casarano |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Bari | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Audace Cerignola | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Catania | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Casertana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 7 | Cavese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | Monopoli | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Scafatese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Salernitana | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | Inter Milan U23 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | AZ Picerno ASD | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 12 |
| 13 | Barletta | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
| 14 | Foggia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 15 | Casarano | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
| 16 | Team Altamura | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 11 |
| 17 | AC Savoia 1908 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 10 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 5 |
| 20 | Crotone | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crotone | Casarano |
|---|---|---|
| Bari | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Audace Cerignola | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Salernitana | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Monopoli | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| AC Savoia 1908 | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Barletta | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Sorrento Calcio | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Crotone (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crotone
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Bari Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 03/10 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/08 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Casarano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
2-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Bari Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crotone vs Casarano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Crotone win (48%). Probabilities: Crotone 48%, draw 27%, Casarano 26%.
How many goals are expected in Crotone vs Casarano?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Crotone 1.65 · Casarano 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crotone vs Casarano?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.