Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 31/10, 17:30
Prediction: Cavese vs AZ Picerno ASD
Team pages: Cavese · AZ Picerno ASD
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Cavese1.78
AZ Picerno ASD1.33
1X2
Cavese
Draw
AZ Picerno ASD
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Cavese
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
AZ Picerno ASD
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cavese
1–4–1
AZ Picerno ASD
(6 last)
- Cavese2-0AZ Picerno ASD
- AZ Picerno ASD2-2Cavese
- Cavese1-1AZ Picerno ASD
- AZ Picerno ASD1-1Cavese
- AZ Picerno ASD3-1Cavese
- Cavese1-1AZ Picerno ASD
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cavese 1522 · AZ Picerno ASD 1468
| Cavese | Draw | AZ Picerno ASD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavese (rating 1522 vs 1468).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cavese | AZ Picerno ASD | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 2.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cavese 1–4–1 AZ Picerno ASD
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Cavese | 2-0 HT 1-0 | AZ Picerno ASD |
| 31/10/25 Italy Serie C Group C | AZ Picerno ASD | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Cavese |
| 15/02/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Cavese | 1-1 HT 0-0 | AZ Picerno ASD |
| 05/10/24 Italy Serie C Group C | AZ Picerno ASD | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Cavese |
| 22/01/20 Italy Serie C Group C | AZ Picerno ASD | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Cavese |
| 25/08/19 Italy Serie C Group C | Cavese | 1-1 HT 0-1 | AZ Picerno ASD |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 15 | 26 |
| 2 | Bari | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Catania | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Monopoli | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Audace Cerignola | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Scafatese | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 17 |
| 8 | Casertana | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | AZ Picerno ASD | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 15 |
| 9 | Cavese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 15 |
| 11 | Inter Milan U23 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 14 |
| 12 | Salernitana | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Foggia | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| 14 | Casarano | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 14 |
| 15 | Team Altamura | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 12 |
| 16 | Barletta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
| 17 | AC Savoia 1908 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 11 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 10 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 6 |
| 20 | Crotone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cavese | AZ Picerno ASD |
|---|---|---|
| Barletta | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Potenza | 2-4 L | 2-4 L |
| Sorrento Calcio | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Cosenza | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Salernitana | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Audace Cerignola | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Cavese (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cavese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
2-2 | 5-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/09 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
AZ Picerno ASD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/10 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 19/09 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/09 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 07/09 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cavese vs AZ Picerno ASD?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cavese win (46%). Probabilities: Cavese 46%, draw 27%, AZ Picerno ASD 27%.
How many goals are expected in Cavese vs AZ Picerno ASD?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Cavese 1.78 · AZ Picerno ASD 1.33), with a 60% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cavese vs AZ Picerno ASD?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.