Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 01/11, 12:30

Prediction: Cosenza vs Inter Milan U23

Team pages: Cosenza · Inter Milan U23

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Cosenza1.39

Inter Milan U231.54

1X2

33% 28% 39%

Cosenza Draw Inter Milan U23

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Cosenza 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Inter Milan U23 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cosenza 1423 · Inter Milan U23 1502

	Cosenza	Draw	Inter Milan U23
Our model	33%	27%	40%
Market	32%	29%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Milan U23 (rating 1423 vs 1502).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cosenza	Inter Milan U23
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.6	1.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.10

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:38 +2’	2.80	3.10	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Potenza	11	8	2	1	28	15	26
2	Bari	11	6	3	2	14	7	21
3	Sorrento Calcio	11	6	2	3	15	11	20
4	Catania	11	6	1	4	24	12	19
5	Monopoli	11	5	3	3	13	9	18
6	Audace Cerignola	11	5	2	4	18	11	17
7	Inter Milan U23	11	5	2	4	21	19	17
8	Scafatese	11	4	5	2	17	15	17
9	Casertana	11	4	5	2	16	14	17
10	AZ Picerno ASD	11	5	0	6	20	18	15
10	Cavese	11	4	3	4	20	18	15
12	Salernitana	11	3	5	3	14	15	14
13	Foggia	11	4	2	5	11	13	14
14	Casarano	11	4	2	5	13	18	14
15	Team Altamura	11	3	3	5	9	16	12
16	Barletta	11	2	5	4	13	16	11
17	AC Savoia 1908	11	2	5	4	12	17	11
18	Giugliano	11	3	1	7	15	29	10
19	Cosenza	11	1	3	7	9	23	6
20	Crotone	11	1	4	6	10	16	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cosenza	Inter Milan U23
AC Savoia 1908	1-1 D	1-2 L
Team Altamura	1-3 L	1-1 D
AZ Picerno ASD	2-1 W	1-4 L
Foggia	0-2 L	3-2 W
Scafatese	1-1 D	2-1 W
Giugliano	2-5 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Inter Milan U23 (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cosenza

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
18/10	Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	1-3	5	5	L
12/10	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
04/10	Foggia Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
26/09	Bari Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
19/09	Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
15/09	Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C	1-2	2-5	4	7	L
12/09	Cavese Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
07/09	Catania Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
29/08	Potenza Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-2	6	4	L

Inter Milan U23

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
24/10	Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
17/10	Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C	1-2	2-4	3	1	L
13/10	Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	4-0	2	4	W
10/10	AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
20/09	Foggia Italy Serie C Group C	2-1	3-2	3	3	W
15/09	Crotone Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
12/09	Casertana Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	2-3	7	3	L
07/09	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	1-4	5	6	L
29/08	Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-1	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cosenza vs Inter Milan U23?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Inter Milan U23 win (39%). Probabilities: Cosenza 33%, draw 28%, Inter Milan U23 39%.

How many goals are expected in Cosenza vs Inter Milan U23?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Cosenza 1.39 · Inter Milan U23 1.54), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cosenza vs Inter Milan U23?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.