Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 02/11, 20:30
Prediction: Casarano vs Foggia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Casarano1.41
Foggia1.2
1X2
Casarano
Draw
Foggia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Casarano
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Foggia
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Casarano
2–1–1
Foggia
(4 last)
- Foggia1-2Casarano
- Casarano0-2Foggia
- Casarano1-0Foggia
- Foggia1-1Casarano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casarano 1509 · Foggia 1467
| Casarano | Draw | Foggia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casarano (rating 1509 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Casarano: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Casarano | Foggia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 2.5 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Casarano 2–1–1 Foggia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Foggia | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Casarano |
| 18/10/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Casarano | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Foggia |
| 23/02/20 Italy Serie D | Casarano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Foggia |
| 20/10/19 Italy Serie D | Foggia | 1-1 | Casarano |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 15 | 26 |
| 2 | Bari | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Catania | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Monopoli | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Audace Cerignola | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Inter Milan U23 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 17 |
| 8 | Scafatese | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 17 |
| 9 | Casertana | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | AZ Picerno ASD | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Cavese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 15 |
| 12 | Salernitana | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Foggia | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| 14 | Casarano | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 14 |
| 15 | Team Altamura | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 12 |
| 16 | Barletta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
| 17 | AC Savoia 1908 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 11 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 10 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 6 |
| 20 | Crotone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Casarano | Foggia |
|---|---|---|
| Cavese | 2-5 L | 1-0 W |
| Salernitana | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Sorrento Calcio | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Monopoli | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| AC Savoia 1908 | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Audace Cerignola | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Giugliano | 4-3 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casarano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
2-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Bari Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 4 | W |
Foggia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/10 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 15/09 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casarano vs Foggia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Casarano win (41%). Probabilities: Casarano 41%, draw 28%, Foggia 31%.
How many goals are expected in Casarano vs Foggia?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Casarano 1.41 · Foggia 1.2), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Casarano vs Foggia?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.