Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 31/10, 17:30

Prediction: Barletta vs Monopoli

Team pages: Barletta · Monopoli

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Barletta1.06
Monopoli0.98
1X2
36% 31% 32%
Barletta Draw Monopoli
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Barletta 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
WDLDDLLDWL
Monopoli 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDDWDLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barletta 1471 · Monopoli 1535
BarlettaDrawMonopoli
Our model36%33%31%
Market37%30%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monopoli (rating 1471 vs 1535).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BarlettaMonopoli
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.31.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.51.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.13 / 0.2

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Potenza 11821 281526
2 Bari 11632 14721
3 Sorrento Calcio 11623 151120
4 Catania 11614 241219
5 Monopoli 11533 13918
6 Audace Cerignola 11524 181117
7 Scafatese 10451 161317
8 Casertana 11452 161417
9 AZ Picerno ASD 11506 201815
9 Cavese 11434 201815
11 Inter Milan U23 10424 191814
12 Salernitana 11353 141514
13 Foggia 11425 111314
14 Casarano 11425 131814
15 Team Altamura 11335 91612
16 Barletta 11254 131611
17 AC Savoia 1908 11254 121711
18 Giugliano 11317 152910
19 Cosenza 11137 9236
20 Crotone 11146 10161

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBarlettaMonopoli
Scafatese 0-1 L 0-0 D
Potenza 1-4 L 0-1 L
Catania 0-0 D 2-0 W
Casarano 1-3 L 1-0 W
Crotone 2-2 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Monopoli (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barletta

WDLDDLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Scafatese
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-1 56 L
18/10 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 102 W
12/10 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-1 24 D
03/10 Giugliano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-1 04 L
27/09 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-4 43 L
19/09 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 25 D
15/09 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 32 D
11/09 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-3 74 L
05/09 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 2-2 41 D
28/08 Bari
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 3-0 83 W

Monopoli

WLWDDWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 62 W
17/10 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 4-2 21 W
10/10 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-2 1-3 54 L
03/10 AC Savoia 1908
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 55 D
27/09 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 55 W
20/09 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
1-2 2-2 52 D
15/09 Scafatese
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 41 D
12/09 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 26 W
05/09 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-1 64 L
29/08 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 32 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barletta vs Monopoli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barletta win (36%). Probabilities: Barletta 36%, draw 31%, Monopoli 32%.

How many goals are expected in Barletta vs Monopoli?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Barletta 1.06 · Monopoli 0.98), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Barletta vs Monopoli?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.