Prediction: Cerro vs Central Espanol
Team pages: Cerro · Central Espanol
- Cerro1-0Central Espanol
- Central Espanol3-1Cerro
- Cerro2-0Central Espanol
- Central Espanol1-2Cerro
- Cerro0-0Central Espanol
- Central Espanol3-2Cerro
| Cerro | Draw | Central Espanol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cerro (rating 1463 vs 1396).
- H2H favours Cerro: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerro | Central Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 0.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.4 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerro 3–1–2 Central Espanol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Cerro | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Central Espanol |
| 26/04/26 Uruguay Apertura | Central Espanol | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Cerro |
| 05/08/22 Uruguay Segunda | Cerro | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Central Espanol |
| 14/05/22 Uruguay Segunda | Central Espanol | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Cerro |
| 29/09/21 Uruguay Segunda | Cerro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Central Espanol |
| 17/06/21 Uruguay Segunda | Central Espanol | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Cerro |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Club de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerro | Central Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| Torque | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Cerro Largo | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Defensor Sporting | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Montevideo Wanderers | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Juventud De Las Piedras | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Cerro (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 13 | W |
| 04/10 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
Central Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 22/09 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerro vs Central Espanol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerro win (40%). Probabilities: Cerro 40%, draw 30%, Central Espanol 31%.
How many goals are expected in Cerro vs Central Espanol?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Cerro 1.32 · Central Espanol 1.14), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerro vs Central Espanol?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.