Football · Uruguay Clausura · 02/11, 00:00

Prediction: Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado

Team pages: Albion FC · Deportivo Maldonado

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Albion FC1.24

Deportivo Maldonado1.48

1X2

31% 28% 42%

Albion FC Draw Deportivo Maldonado

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Albion FC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Deportivo Maldonado 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Albion FC 3–1–2 Deportivo Maldonado (6 last)

Deportivo Maldonado4-1Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado1-1Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado1-2Albion FC
Albion FC1-0Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado0-1Albion FC
Albion FC1-3Deportivo Maldonado

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Albion FC 1493 · Deportivo Maldonado 1555

	Albion FC	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
Our model	31%	28%	41%
Market	31%	28%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Maldonado (rating 1493 vs 1555).
H2H favours Albion FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Albion FC	Deportivo Maldonado
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.6	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.25

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 00:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 2.90▼	Pinn 3.02
X	3.30 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.53 ★
2	2.00 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.24

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:18 +1’	3.20	3.30	2.00
03:17 +2’	3.10▼	3.30	2.05▲
00:04 +17’	2.90▼	3.25▼	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:41 +40’	2.77	3.46	2.36
01:45 +35’	2.81▲	3.51▲	2.38▲
05:55 +19’	3.02▲	3.53▲	2.24▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Albion FC 3–1–2 Deportivo Maldonado

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/10/26 Uruguay Cup	Deportivo Maldonado	4-1 HT 1-1	Albion FC
11/07/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio	Deportivo Maldonado	1-1 HT 1-0	Albion FC
25/04/26 Uruguay Apertura	Deportivo Maldonado	1-2 HT 1-1	Albion FC
14/09/25 Uruguay Segunda	Albion FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Maldonado
22/06/25 Uruguay Segunda	Deportivo Maldonado	0-1 HT 0-1	Albion FC
24/10/22 Uruguay Clausura	Albion FC	1-3 HT 1-1	Deportivo Maldonado

Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Montevideo Wanderers	7	4	3	0	12	4	15
2	Nacional De Football	7	4	1	2	8	8	13
3	Deportivo Maldonado	7	3	3	1	12	6	12
4	Torque	7	4	0	3	11	11	12
5	Juventud De Las Piedras	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
6	Albion FC	7	1	3	3	6	8	6
7	Club Atletico Progreso	7	2	0	5	6	11	6
8	Danubio	7	0	4	3	5	9	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Albion FC	Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol	3-1 W	3-0 W
Torque	2-1 W	2-0 W
Cerro Largo	1-0 W	2-0 W
Defensor Sporting	3-2 W	0-1 L
Montevideo Wanderers	1-2 L	2-0 W
Juventud De Las Piedras	1-3 L	0-2 L
Penarol	1-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Maldonado (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Albion FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
18/10	Torque Uruguay Clausura	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
11/10	Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
03/10	Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura	2-0	3-2	2	7	W
29/09	Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura	0-2	1-2	4	7	L
20/09	Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
14/09	Penarol Uruguay Clausura	0-2	1-3	3	4	L
07/09	Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
31/08	Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
21/08	Boston River Uruguay Clausura	1-2	2-3	5	7	L

Deportivo Maldonado

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Danubio Uruguay Clausura	0-1	2-1	3	3	W
20/10	Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura	0-1	2-3	11	7	L
10/10	Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
03/10	Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
27/09	Torque Uruguay Clausura	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
19/09	Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
13/09	Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
05/09	Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
29/08	Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
22/08	Penarol Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-0	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Maldonado win (42%). Probabilities: Albion FC 31%, draw 28%, Deportivo Maldonado 42%.

How many goals are expected in Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Albion FC 1.24 · Deportivo Maldonado 1.48), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.