Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 23/10, 22:00

Prediction: Jarabacoa FC vs Universidad O&M

Team pages: Jarabacoa FC · Universidad O&M

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Jarabacoa FC0.84

Universidad O&M1.58

1X2

20% 25% 55%

Jarabacoa FC Draw Universidad O&M

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Jarabacoa FC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLDL

Universidad O&M 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWDLLWD

Head-to-head

Jarabacoa FC 0–1–5 Universidad O&M (6 last)

Universidad O&M4-0Jarabacoa FC
Jarabacoa FC1-3Universidad O&M
Universidad O&M2-1Jarabacoa FC
Universidad O&M5-1Jarabacoa FC
Jarabacoa FC0-0Universidad O&M
Universidad O&M2-1Jarabacoa FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jarabacoa FC 1413 · Universidad O&M 1495

	Jarabacoa FC	Draw	Universidad O&M
Our model	19%	28%	54%
Market	21%	24%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad O&M (rating 1413 vs 1495).
H2H favours Universidad O&M: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jarabacoa FC	Universidad O&M
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.8	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.1	1.5 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.80

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
23:59 +7’	4.33	3.80	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jarabacoa FC 0–1–5 Universidad O&M

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	4-0 HT 2-0	Jarabacoa FC
18/10/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Jarabacoa FC	1-3 HT 1-1	Universidad O&M
09/08/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	2-1 HT 1-1	Jarabacoa FC
06/04/25 Dominican Republic Cup	Universidad O&M	5-1 HT 4-1	Jarabacoa FC
24/06/23 Dominican Republic Liga	Jarabacoa FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Universidad O&M
07/05/23 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	2-1 HT 1-1	Jarabacoa FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jarabacoa FC	Universidad O&M
Moca FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Delfines Del Este	1-1 D	0-0 D
Cibao FC	0-3 L	1-1 D
Atletico Vega Real	1-3 L	0-1 L
Salcedo FC	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Universidad O&M (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jarabacoa FC

LWLLLLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
10/10	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
28/09	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
24/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	1-3	1	5	L
19/09	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
12/09	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	0-2	0-4	6	4	L
06/09	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
29/08	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
25/08	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
23/08	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Universidad O&M

LLDWWDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
11/10	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
03/10	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
27/09	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-2	1-2	4	6	L
21/09	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-0	4-0	6	4	W
05/09	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	2	9	W
30/08	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
26/08	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	1-2	4	5	L
23/08	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-3	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jarabacoa FC vs Universidad O&M?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad O&M win (55%). Probabilities: Jarabacoa FC 20%, draw 25%, Universidad O&M 55%.

How many goals are expected in Jarabacoa FC vs Universidad O&M?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Jarabacoa FC 0.84 · Universidad O&M 1.58), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jarabacoa FC vs Universidad O&M?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.