Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 01/11, 23:00

Prediction: Atletico Vega Real vs Delfines Del Este

Team pages: Atletico Vega Real · Delfines Del Este

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.06Total

Atletico Vega Real1.03

Delfines Del Este1.02

1X2

35% 31% 34%

Atletico Vega Real Draw Delfines Del Este

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Vega Real 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWLDL

Delfines Del Este 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWLLDD

Head-to-head

Atletico Vega Real 2–1–3 Delfines Del Este (6 last)

Delfines Del Este1-0Atletico Vega Real
Atletico Vega Real0-2Delfines Del Este
Delfines Del Este3-0Atletico Vega Real
Atletico Vega Real1-1Delfines Del Este
Delfines Del Este1-2Atletico Vega Real
Atletico Vega Real1-0Delfines Del Este

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Vega Real 1483 · Delfines Del Este 1526

	Atletico Vega Real	Draw	Delfines Del Este
Our model	34%	33%	33%
Market	36%	29%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Delfines Del Este (rating 1483 vs 1526).
H2H favours Delfines Del Este: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Vega Real	Delfines Del Este
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	0.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/67/11%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.1	1.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.10

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.75

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:09 +6’	2.50	3.10	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Vega Real 2–1–3 Delfines Del Este

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Delfines Del Este	1-0 HT 0-0	Atletico Vega Real
12/12/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Atletico Vega Real	0-2 HT 0-1	Delfines Del Este
28/09/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Delfines Del Este	3-0 HT 2-0	Atletico Vega Real
19/06/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Atletico Vega Real	1-1 HT 0-1	Delfines Del Este
12/05/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Delfines Del Este	1-2 HT 1-1	Atletico Vega Real
07/04/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Atletico Vega Real	1-0 HT 1-0	Delfines Del Este

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Vega Real	Delfines Del Este
Atlantico FC	1-2 L	3-1 W
Cibao FC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Salcedo FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Universidad O&M	1-0 W	0-0 D
Moca FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Jarabacoa FC	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Vega Real (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Vega Real

LLWLWWWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/10	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
11/10	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	2	10	L
03/10	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
27/09	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
24/09	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
20/09	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-1	5	8	L
13/09	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	3-0	5-0	8	4	W
06/09	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-1	1-2	4	10	L
30/08	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-3	6	3	L

Delfines Del Este

WWLWDWLLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
10/10	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
04/10	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-2	1	5	L
30/09	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
26/09	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	3-1	3	2	W
24/09	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
20/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
05/09	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	10	9	L
29/08	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
26/08	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Vega Real vs Delfines Del Este?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Vega Real win (35%). Probabilities: Atletico Vega Real 35%, draw 31%, Delfines Del Este 34%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Vega Real vs Delfines Del Este?

The model expects 2.06 goals (Atletico Vega Real 1.03 · Delfines Del Este 1.02), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Vega Real vs Delfines Del Este?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.