Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 01/11, 21:00

Prediction: Salcedo FC vs Jarabacoa FC

Team pages: Salcedo FC · Jarabacoa FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Salcedo FC2.46
Jarabacoa FC0.52
1X2
80% 13% 6%
Salcedo FC Draw Jarabacoa FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Salcedo FC 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWDWWWW
Jarabacoa FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLLDLW
Head-to-head
Salcedo FC 2–1–0 Jarabacoa FC (3 last)
  • Jarabacoa FC0-2Salcedo FC
  • Jarabacoa FC0-0Salcedo FC
  • Salcedo FC1-0Jarabacoa FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salcedo FC 1610 · Jarabacoa FC 1440
Salcedo FCDrawJarabacoa FC
Our model79%15%5%
Market81%12%7%
Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salcedo FC (rating 1610 vs 1440).
  • H2H favours Salcedo FC: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Salcedo FCJarabacoa FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.40.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 00.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/30/0%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 41.2 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.24.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Salcedo FC 2–1–0 Jarabacoa FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/09/26
Dominican Republic Liga
Jarabacoa FC0-2
HT 0-2
Salcedo FC
08/11/25
Dominican Republic Liga
Jarabacoa FC0-0
HT 0-0
Salcedo FC
23/08/25
Dominican Republic Liga
Salcedo FC1-0
HT 0-0
Jarabacoa FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSalcedo FCJarabacoa FC
Atletico Vega Real 1-0 W 1-3 L
Moca FC 1-0 W 0-1 L
Delfines Del Este 1-0 W 1-1 D
Universidad O&M 2-1 W 4-3 W
Cibao FC 0-0 D 0-3 L
Atlantico FC 6-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Salcedo FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salcedo FC

WDWWWDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Atletico Vega Real
Dominican Republic Liga
1-0 1-0 410 W
04/10 Moca FC
Dominican Republic Liga
1-0 1-0 28 W
30/09 Delfines Del Este
Dominican Republic Liga
1-0 1-0 13 W
27/09 Universidad O&M
Dominican Republic Liga
2-0 2-1 56 W
23/09 Cibao FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 0-0 27 D
19/09 Jarabacoa FC
Dominican Republic Liga
2-0 2-0 44 W
06/09 Atlantico FC
Dominican Republic Liga
3-0 6-1 44 W
30/08 Atletico Vega Real
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 3-1 63 W
27/08 Moca FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 0-0 92 D
23/08 Universidad O&M
Dominican Republic Liga
1-0 3-1 35 W

Jarabacoa FC

WLLLLLLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 Universidad O&M
Dominican Republic Liga
3-1 4-3 36 W
18/10 Moca FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 0-1 44 L
10/10 Delfines Del Este
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 1-1 15 D
28/09 Cibao FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-1 0-3 32 L
24/09 Atletico Vega Real
Dominican Republic Liga
1-2 1-3 15 L
19/09 Salcedo FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-2 0-2 54 L
12/09 Universidad O&M
Dominican Republic Liga
0-2 0-4 64 L
06/09 Moca FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 0-1 27 L
29/08 Delfines Del Este
Dominican Republic Liga
0-1 0-1 43 L
25/08 Atlantico FC
Dominican Republic Liga
1-0 2-0 23 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salcedo FC vs Jarabacoa FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Salcedo FC win (80%). Probabilities: Salcedo FC 80%, draw 13%, Jarabacoa FC 6%.

How many goals are expected in Salcedo FC vs Jarabacoa FC?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Salcedo FC 2.46 · Jarabacoa FC 0.52), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Salcedo FC vs Jarabacoa FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.