Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 31/10, 21:00

Prediction: Universidad O&M vs Cibao FC

Team pages: Universidad O&M · Cibao FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Universidad O&M0.97

Cibao FC1.71

1X2

20% 26% 54%

Universidad O&M Draw Cibao FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Universidad O&M 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWDLLWDL

Cibao FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDWWDW

Head-to-head

Universidad O&M 1–1–4 Cibao FC (6 last)

Cibao FC1-1Universidad O&M
Cibao FC3-1Universidad O&M
Universidad O&M0-3Cibao FC
Cibao FC4-2Universidad O&M
Universidad O&M1-0Cibao FC
Cibao FC2-1Universidad O&M

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universidad O&M 1455 · Cibao FC 1550

	Universidad O&M	Draw	Cibao FC
Our model	20%	26%	54%
Market	21%	25%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cibao FC (rating 1455 vs 1550).
H2H favours Cibao FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Universidad O&M	Cibao FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.4	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.50

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +16’	4.33	3.50	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad O&M 1–1–4 Cibao FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/09/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Universidad O&M
20/04/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	3-1 HT 0-0	Universidad O&M
08/03/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	0-3 HT 0-1	Cibao FC
31/01/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	4-2 HT 2-0	Universidad O&M
14/01/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	1-0 HT 1-0	Cibao FC
22/11/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Universidad O&M

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Universidad O&M	Cibao FC
Jarabacoa FC	3-4 L	3-0 W
Delfines Del Este	0-0 D	2-1 W
Moca FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Atletico Vega Real	0-1 L	0-0 D
Salcedo FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cibao FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universidad O&M

LDWWDLLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-3	3-4	5	6	L
18/10	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
11/10	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
03/10	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
27/09	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-2	1-2	4	6	L
21/09	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-0	4-0	6	4	W
05/09	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	2	9	W
30/08	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
26/08	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	1-2	4	5	L

Cibao FC

LWWLDDWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
17/10	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
04/10	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
28/09	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
23/09	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
21/09	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
14/09	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-2	4	8	L
06/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	1-1	2-1	9	10	W
29/08	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	3-1	4-1	4	6	W
26/08	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-1	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universidad O&M vs Cibao FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cibao FC win (54%). Probabilities: Universidad O&M 20%, draw 26%, Cibao FC 54%.

How many goals are expected in Universidad O&M vs Cibao FC?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Universidad O&M 0.97 · Cibao FC 1.71), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Universidad O&M vs Cibao FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.