Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 31/10, 23:00

Prediction: Moca FC vs Atlantico FC

Team pages: Moca FC · Atlantico FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Moca FC2.22
Atlantico FC0.55
1X2
76% 17% 8%
Moca FC Draw Atlantico FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Moca FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DDWWDLLLWL
Atlantico FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWDDLLLLLW
Head-to-head
Moca FC 4–1–1 Atlantico FC (6 last)
  • Moca FC1-0Atlantico FC
  • Atlantico FC3-1Moca FC
  • Moca FC2-1Atlantico FC
  • Atlantico FC0-1Moca FC
  • Moca FC1-0Atlantico FC
  • Atlantico FC2-2Moca FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moca FC 1494 · Atlantico FC 1445
Moca FCDrawAtlantico FC
Our model75%18%7%
Market76%16%8%
Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Moca FC (rating 1494 vs 1445).
  • H2H favours Moca FC: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Moca FCAtlantico FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.80.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.30.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%33/11/56%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.61.7 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.33.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Moca FC 4–1–1 Atlantico FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/12/25
Dominican Republic Liga
Moca FC1-0
HT 1-0
Atlantico FC
21/09/25
Dominican Republic Liga
Atlantico FC3-1
HT 1-0
Moca FC
28/07/24
Dominican Republic Liga
Moca FC2-1
HT 1-0
Atlantico FC
23/06/24
Dominican Republic Liga
Atlantico FC0-1
HT 0-0
Moca FC
15/05/24
Dominican Republic Liga
Moca FC1-0
HT 1-0
Atlantico FC
13/04/24
Dominican Republic Liga
Atlantico FC2-2
HT 1-1
Moca FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMoca FCAtlantico FC
Cibao FC 1-2 L 1-4 L
Jarabacoa FC 1-0 W 0-2 L
Universidad O&M 1-2 L 2-0 W
Salcedo FC 0-1 L 1-6 L
Atletico Vega Real 0-1 L 2-1 W
Delfines Del Este 1-1 D 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Moca FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moca FC

DDWWDLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Cibao FC
Dominican Republic Liga
1-1 1-2 44 L
18/10 Jarabacoa FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 1-0 104 W
11/10 Universidad O&M
Dominican Republic Liga
0-1 1-2 64 L
04/10 Salcedo FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-1 0-1 38 L
27/09 Atletico Vega Real
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 0-1 32 L
24/09 Delfines Del Este
Dominican Republic Liga
1-0 1-1 13 D
14/09 Cibao FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 2-1 38 W
06/09 Jarabacoa FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 1-0 47 W
30/08 Universidad O&M
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 0-0 93 D
27/08 Salcedo FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 0-0 32 D

Atlantico FC

LWDDLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Atletico Vega Real
Dominican Republic Liga
– 2-1 –– W
26/09 Delfines Del Este
Dominican Republic Liga
1-0 1-3 42 L
13/09 Atletico Vega Real
Dominican Republic Liga
0-3 0-5 24 L
06/09 Salcedo FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-3 1-6 44 L
29/08 Cibao FC
Dominican Republic Liga
1-3 1-4 36 L
25/08 Jarabacoa FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-1 0-2 43 L
22/08 Delfines Del Este
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 0-0 48 D
17/12 Jarabacoa FC
Dominican Republic Liga
1-0 1-1 50 D
14/12 Universidad O&M
Dominican Republic Liga
1-0 2-0 13 W
06/12 Moca FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-1 0-1 16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moca FC vs Atlantico FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Moca FC win (76%). Probabilities: Moca FC 76%, draw 17%, Atlantico FC 8%.

How many goals are expected in Moca FC vs Atlantico FC?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Moca FC 2.22 · Atlantico FC 0.55), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Moca FC vs Atlantico FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.