Football · Armenia Premier League · 06/11, 12:00

Prediction: FC Van vs Pyunik Yerevan

Team pages: FC Van · Pyunik Yerevan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

FC Van0.75

Pyunik Yerevan2.17

1X2

11% 19% 70%

FC Van Draw Pyunik Yerevan

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Van 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Pyunik Yerevan 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Van 2–4 Pyunik Yerevan (6 last)

Pyunik Yerevan3-0FC Van
Pyunik Yerevan2-1FC Van
FC Van2-1Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan5-1FC Van
FC Van3-2Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan1-0FC Van

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Van 1455 · Pyunik Yerevan 1612

	FC Van	Draw	Pyunik Yerevan
Our model	11%	20%	69%
Market	12%	17%	71%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pyunik Yerevan (rating 1455 vs 1612).
H2H favours Pyunik Yerevan: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Van	Pyunik Yerevan
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	2.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.4	2.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

17.50

X5.25

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.98

2 (-1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 7.50	Pinn 8.22 ★
X	5.25 → 5.25	Pinn 5.68
2	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:54 +15’	7.50	5.25	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:01 +5’	8.22	5.68	1.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Van 2–0–4 Pyunik Yerevan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Armenia Premier League	Pyunik Yerevan	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Van
27/05/26 Armenia Premier League	Pyunik Yerevan	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Van
18/10/25 Armenia Premier League	FC Van	2-1 HT 1-0	Pyunik Yerevan
04/10/25 Armenia Premier League	Pyunik Yerevan	5-1 HT 3-0	FC Van
23/05/25 Armenia Premier League	FC Van	3-2 HT 2-1	Pyunik Yerevan
28/10/24 Armenia Premier League	Pyunik Yerevan	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Van

Standings · Armenia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Noah	12	10	1	1	31	10	31
2	Ararat Armenia	12	9	2	1	24	10	29
3	Pyunik Yerevan	12	8	4	0	28	9	28
4	Alashkert FC	12	7	4	1	27	8	25
5	Sardarapat FC	12	4	5	3	19	20	17
6	FC Urartu	12	4	4	4	19	15	16
7	Shirak	12	4	2	6	14	15	14
8	Ararat Yerevan	12	3	2	7	10	20	11
9	FC Van	12	3	2	7	12	29	11
10	BKMA FC	12	2	2	8	10	22	8
11	Syunik	12	2	2	8	11	26	8
12	Gandzasar Kapan	12	1	0	11	9	30	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Van	Pyunik Yerevan
Sardarapat FC	2-2 D	4-2 W
Ararat Yerevan	2-1 W	2-0 W
FC Urartu	2-5 L	1-0 W
Gandzasar Kapan	2-0 W	3-0 W
FC Noah	0-2 L	1-1 D
BKMA FC	2-1 W	5-0 W
Alashkert FC	0-4 L	3-3 D
Shirak	0-4 L	2-0 W
Syunik	1-1 D	0-0 D
Ararat Armenia	0-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	7 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Pyunik Yerevan (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Van

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
23/10	Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League	1-1	2-1	1	4	W
17/10	FC Urartu Armenia Premier League	1-1	2-5	4	5	L
10/10	Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
18/09	FC Noah Armenia Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	6	L
11/09	BKMA FC Armenia Premier League	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
03/09	Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League	0-2	0-4	2	3	L
29/08	Shirak Armenia Premier League	0-3	0-4	3	4	L
20/08	Syunik Armenia Premier League	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
15/08	Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	6	L

Pyunik Yerevan

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	FC Urartu Armenia Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
23/10	Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League	0-0	3-0	5	0	W
18/10	FC Noah Armenia Premier League	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
12/10	BKMA FC Armenia Premier League	3-0	5-0	8	3	W
19/09	Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League	2-1	3-3	4	6	D
13/09	Shirak Armenia Premier League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/09	Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League	1-1	4-2	6	1	W
04/09	Syunik Armenia Premier League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
31/08	Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League	2-0	2-1	2	3	W
21/08	Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Van vs Pyunik Yerevan?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pyunik Yerevan win (70%). Probabilities: FC Van 11%, draw 19%, Pyunik Yerevan 70%.

How many goals are expected in FC Van vs Pyunik Yerevan?

The model expects 2.92 goals (FC Van 0.75 · Pyunik Yerevan 2.17), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Van vs Pyunik Yerevan?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.