Football · Armenia Premier League · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: FC Noah vs Shirak

Team pages: FC Noah · Shirak

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

FC Noah2.66

Shirak0.69

1X2

79% 14% 7%

FC Noah Draw Shirak

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Noah 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWDLW

Shirak 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLLDLW

Head-to-head

FC Noah 6–0 Shirak (6 last)

Shirak3-4FC Noah
FC Noah3-0Shirak
Shirak0-2FC Noah
FC Noah4-0Shirak
Shirak1-2FC Noah
FC Noah4-0Shirak

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Noah 1611 · Shirak 1484

	FC Noah	Draw	Shirak
Our model	79%	15%	7%
Market	79%	13%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Noah (rating 1611 vs 1484).
H2H favours FC Noah: 6-0-0.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Noah	Shirak
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.7	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.7	3.7 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.14

X7.00

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.95

2 (+2.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:14 +7’	1.14	7.00	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Noah 6–0–0 Shirak

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Armenia Premier League	Shirak	3-4 HT 1-1	FC Noah
22/03/26 Armenia Premier League	FC Noah	3-0 HT 2-0	Shirak
16/03/26 Armenia Premier League	Shirak	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Noah
03/08/25 Armenia Premier League	FC Noah	4-0 HT 2-0	Shirak
29/03/25 Armenia Premier League	Shirak	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Noah
02/03/25 Armenia Premier League	FC Noah	4-0 HT 2-0	Shirak

Standings · Armenia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Noah	12	10	1	1	31	10	31
2	Ararat Armenia	12	9	2	1	24	10	29
3	Pyunik Yerevan	12	8	4	0	28	9	28
4	Alashkert FC	12	7	4	1	27	8	25
5	Sardarapat FC	12	4	5	3	19	20	17
6	FC Urartu	12	4	4	4	19	15	16
7	Shirak	12	4	2	6	14	15	14
8	Ararat Yerevan	12	3	2	7	10	20	11
9	FC Van	12	3	2	7	12	29	11
10	BKMA FC	12	2	2	8	10	22	8
11	Syunik	12	2	2	8	11	26	8
12	Gandzasar Kapan	12	1	0	11	9	30	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Noah	Shirak
Syunik	3-1 W	0-2 L
Ararat Armenia	1-2 L	1-3 L
Pyunik Yerevan	1-1 D	0-2 L
Sardarapat FC	5-1 W	2-0 W
FC Van	2-0 W	4-0 W
FC Urartu	3-0 W	0-1 L
Gandzasar Kapan	3-2 W	1-0 W
Ararat Yerevan	4-0 W	1-1 D
BKMA FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Alashkert FC	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	8 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FC Noah (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Noah

WWWWWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Syunik Armenia Premier League	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
26/10	Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League	0-2	1-2	5	8	L
18/10	Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
11/10	Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League	3-0	5-1	5	3	W
18/09	FC Van Armenia Premier League	0-0	2-0	2	6	W
12/09	FC Urartu Armenia Premier League	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
04/09	Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League	2-2	3-2	10	4	W
30/08	Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League	3-0	4-0	2	5	W
23/08	BKMA FC Armenia Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
17/08	Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	6	W

Shirak

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	BKMA FC Armenia Premier League	1-1	2-1	12	5	W
24/10	Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
17/10	Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League	0-1	1-1	6	9	D
12/10	Syunik Armenia Premier League	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
20/09	Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League	0-3	1-3	10	4	L
13/09	Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
06/09	Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
29/08	FC Van Armenia Premier League	3-0	4-0	4	4	W
22/08	FC Urartu Armenia Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
14/08	Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Noah vs Shirak?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Noah win (79%). Probabilities: FC Noah 79%, draw 14%, Shirak 7%.

How many goals are expected in FC Noah vs Shirak?

The model expects 3.35 goals (FC Noah 2.66 · Shirak 0.69), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Noah vs Shirak?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.