Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 25/10, 14:30
Prediction: Foggia vs Cavese
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Foggia1.32
Cavese1.1
1X2
Foggia
Draw
Cavese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Foggia
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Cavese
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Foggia
2–2–2
Cavese
(6 last)
- Cavese0-0Foggia
- Foggia0-0Cavese
- Foggia0-1Cavese
- Cavese2-1Foggia
- Foggia1-0Cavese
- Cavese0-1Foggia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Foggia 1475 · Cavese 1519
| Foggia | Draw | Cavese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavese (rating 1475 vs 1519).
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Foggia | Cavese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 1.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Foggia 2–2–2 Cavese
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Cavese | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Foggia |
| 17/11/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Foggia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cavese |
| 16/03/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Foggia | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cavese |
| 04/11/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Cavese | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Foggia |
| 14/03/21 Italy Serie C Group C | Foggia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cavese |
| 15/11/20 Italy Serie C Group C | Cavese | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Foggia |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Bari | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Audace Cerignola | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Catania | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Casertana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 7 | Cavese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | Monopoli | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Scafatese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Salernitana | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | Inter Milan U23 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | AZ Picerno ASD | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 12 |
| 13 | Barletta | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
| 14 | Foggia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 15 | Casarano | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
| 16 | Team Altamura | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 11 |
| 17 | AC Savoia 1908 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 10 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 5 |
| 20 | Crotone | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Foggia | Cavese |
|---|---|---|
| Potenza | 1-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Cosenza | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Sorrento Calcio | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| AC Savoia 1908 | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Audace Cerignola | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Salernitana | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Foggia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 15/09 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Cavese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
2-2 | 5-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/09 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Bari Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Foggia vs Cavese?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Foggia win (41%). Probabilities: Foggia 41%, draw 29%, Cavese 30%.
How many goals are expected in Foggia vs Cavese?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Foggia 1.32 · Cavese 1.1), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Foggia vs Cavese?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.