Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 29/10, 17:30

Prediction: NK Brinje Grosuplje vs NK Bravo

Team pages: NK Brinje Grosuplje · NK Bravo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

NK Brinje Grosuplje1.33

NK Bravo1.55

1X2

32% 27% 41%

NK Brinje Grosuplje Draw NK Bravo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Brinje Grosuplje 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DDLLWLLWLL

NK Bravo 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLWDWWLD

Head-to-head

NK Brinje Grosuplje 0–1–1 NK Bravo (2 last)

NK Bravo1-1NK Brinje Grosuplje
NK Bravo6-0NK Brinje Grosuplje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Brinje Grosuplje 1450 · NK Bravo 1521

	NK Brinje Grosuplje	Draw	NK Bravo
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	32%	27%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Bravo (rating 1450 vs 1521).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Brinje Grosuplje	NK Bravo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 2.9	1.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.30

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.44
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.50 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +3’	2.80	3.30	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:32 +165’	2.67	3.44	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Brinje Grosuplje 0–1–1 NK Bravo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Bravo	1-1 HT 0-1	NK Brinje Grosuplje
23/05/20 Europe Friendlies	NK Bravo	6-0 HT 3-0	NK Brinje Grosuplje

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Maribor	12	6	6	0	21	9	24
2	FC Koper	12	6	4	2	19	11	22
3	NK Bravo	12	5	4	3	14	13	19
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	12	5	3	4	14	11	18
5	NK Nafta 1903	12	5	2	5	18	16	17
6	NK Celje	11	4	4	3	12	11	16
7	Aluminij Kidricevo	12	3	4	5	16	13	13
8	NS Mura	12	2	5	5	13	24	11
9	NK Brinje Grosuplje	12	3	2	7	15	25	11
10	NK Radomlje	11	1	4	6	14	23	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Brinje Grosuplje	NK Bravo
FC Koper	0-5 L	0-0 D
NK Maribor	1-2 L	1-3 L
NK Radomlje	2-1 W	2-2 D
NK Nafta 1903	1-2 L	0-1 L
Olimpija Ljubljana	0-3 L	2-1 W
NK Celje	4-1 W	2-1 W
Aluminij Kidricevo	2-4 L	0-0 D
NS Mura	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Bravo (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Brinje Grosuplje

DDLLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	0-2	0-5	2	5	L
11/10	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
20/09	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
11/09	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
05/09	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
30/08	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-1	4-1	1	3	W
21/08	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	2-1	2-4	3	3	L
16/08	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
09/08	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
02/08	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	3	9	D

NK Bravo

WDDLWDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
11/10	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	8	2	L
20/09	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	2	11	W
12/09	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
05/09	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
29/08	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
23/08	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-3	1	4	L
16/08	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
09/08	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
02/08	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Brinje Grosuplje vs NK Bravo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Bravo win (41%). Probabilities: NK Brinje Grosuplje 32%, draw 27%, NK Bravo 41%.

How many goals are expected in NK Brinje Grosuplje vs NK Bravo?

The model expects 2.88 goals (NK Brinje Grosuplje 1.33 · NK Bravo 1.55), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Brinje Grosuplje vs NK Bravo?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.